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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Actualizado: March 12, 2026 at 03:50 UTC
▼ -1.29%TA Alcista · Focus Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

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PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana$88.39 +1.43%Ayer$88.28 -1.29%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Semana$86.65 -0.56%Semana Pasada$89.15 -2.25%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$83.43 -4.26%Mes Pasado$87.52 -0.43%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$85.77 -1.57%Año Pasado$90.40 -3.61%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$83.97 -3.64%Hace 5 Años$136.06 -35.95%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana$88.39 +1.43%
Ayer$88.28 -1.29%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Semana$86.65 -0.56%
Semana Pasada$89.15 -2.25%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$83.43 -4.26%
Mes Pasado$87.52 -0.43%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$85.77 -1.57%
Año Pasado$90.40 -3.61%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$83.97 -3.64%
Hace 5 Años$136.06 -35.95%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
$89.45$88.46$87.47$86.48$85.491W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bearish
0
Alcista
2
Neutral
3
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1413.7 Bearish
MACD0.03 Neutral
SMA 50$87.17 Mid
SMA 200$93.00 Below
EMA 20$95.07 Below

Datos Históricos

Open$88.28
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$87.08 – $87.81
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57
Max Supplyn/a
Open$88.28Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$87.08 – $87.81Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57Max Supplyn/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

$88.51R3 — major ceiling
$88.10R2 — swing resistance
$87.69R1 — near-term resistance
$87.14Precio ActualTLT
$85.40S1 — near-term supportSupport
$82.78S2 — structure support
$80.17S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $87.69; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $85.40; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.66% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent$87.14Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$87.81Local High+0.77%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$87.08Local Low-0.07%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.43Model 1M-4.26%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.77Model 1Y-1.57%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.97Model 5Y-3.64%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
83%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.66% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en TLT hoy
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$97.60
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad32%
Base Case
$957.42
-4.26% from current
Precio Objetivo$83.43
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$80.17
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.26% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.66% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo TLT se mueve con otros activos
TLTXLFSPYQQQDIAXLE
TLT1.00-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.98-0.95
XLF-0.991.000.990.980.990.96
SPY-0.980.991.001.000.990.94
QQQ-0.980.981.001.000.980.92
DIA-0.980.990.990.981.000.96
XLE-0.950.960.940.920.961.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 48/100
24H drift+1.43%
7D drift-0.56%
30D drift-4.26%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 27/100
RSI13.5 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-4.26%
1Y outlook-1.57%
5Y outlook-3.64%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.39 versus the latest reference around $87.14. That implies a modeled move of +1.43% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -0.56% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.43 (-4.26%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-1.57%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.97 with a modeled change of -3.64%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $87.69, while nearest support is around $85.40. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $87.08 to $87.81. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.