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US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 19:37 UTC

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▲ +0.58%TA Neutral · Focus Preise + Makro

Prognosezusammenfassung

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Zeitrahmen	Voraussichtlicher Preis	Vergangenheit	Historisch	Einblick
Morgen	4.827% ▼ -1.19%	Gestern	4.857% ▲ +0.58%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Woche	4.779% ▼ -2.16%	Letzte Woche	4.752% ▲ +2.80%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat	4.844% ▼ -0.83%	Letzten Monat	4.788% ▲ +2.03%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr	4.770% ▼ -2.34%	Letztes Jahr	4.633% ▲ +5.44%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre	4.793% ▼ -1.88%	Vor 5 Jahren	2.402% ▲ +103.37%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Morgen4.827%▼ -1.19%

Gestern4.857%▲ +0.58%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Woche4.779%▼ -2.16%

Letzte Woche4.752%▲ +2.80%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Monat4.844%▼ -0.83%

Letzten Monat4.788%▲ +2.03%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Jahr4.770%▼ -2.34%

Letztes Jahr4.633%▲ +5.44%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Jahre4.793%▼ -1.88%

Vor 5 Jahren2.402%▲ +103.37%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch

Technische Analyse

Bullish

Bullisch

Neutral

Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

Indikator	Wert	Signal
RSI 14	91.4	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.824%	Above
SMA 200	4.530%	Above
EMA 20	4.409%	Above

Historische Daten

Open4.857%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.860% – 4.895%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.633% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.080% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.857%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.860% – 4.895%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.633% – 4.915%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.633% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.080% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

4.972%R3 — major ceiling

4.946%R2 — swing resistance

4.920%R1 — near-term resistance

4.885%Aktueller PreisUS30Y

4.787%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.641%S2 — structure support

4.494%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.920%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.787%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.74% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext

Recent4.885%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.895%Local High+0.20%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.860%Local Low-0.51%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.844%Model 1M-0.84%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.770%Model 1Y-2.35%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-1.88%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat

83%

Richtungsweisend

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in US30Y investieren

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Zielpreis5.471%

SzenarioBreakout continuation

Wahrscheinlichkeit32%

Base Case

$991.61

-0.84% from current

Zielpreis4.844%

SzenarioTrend-following baseline

Wahrscheinlichkeit40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Zielpreis4.494%

SzenarioVolatility drawdown

Wahrscheinlichkeit28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-0.83% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.74% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich US30Y mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.96	-0.68	0.53	-0.22
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	0.75	-0.42	0.28
DE10Y	-0.68	0.75	1.00	0.18	0.82
US10Y	0.53	-0.42	0.18	1.00	0.66
US2Y	-0.22	0.28	0.82	0.66	1.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 43/100

24H drift-1.19%

7D drift-2.16%

30D drift-0.83%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI91.6 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 47/100

1M outlook-0.83%

1Y outlook-2.34%

5Y outlook-1.88%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.827% versus the latest reference around 4.885%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.779%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.16% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.844% (-0.83%), while the 1-year target is 4.770% (-2.34%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -1.88%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.920%, while nearest support is around 4.787%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.860% to 4.895%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.