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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 19:37 UTC

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▲ +1.54%TA Bärisch · Focus Preise + Makro

Prognosezusammenfassung

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Zeitrahmen	Voraussichtlicher Preis	Vergangenheit	Historisch	Einblick
Morgen	4.222% ▼ -1.20%	Gestern	4.208% ▲ +1.54%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Woche	4.151% ▼ -2.86%	Letzte Woche	4.146% ▲ +3.06%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat	4.079% ▼ -4.55%	Letzten Monat	4.147% ▲ +3.04%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr	4.068% ▼ -4.80%	Letztes Jahr	4.318% ▼ -1.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre	4.042% ▼ -5.41%	Vor 5 Jahren	1.635% ▲ +161.35%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Morgen4.222%▼ -1.20%

Gestern4.208%▲ +1.54%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).

Woche4.151%▼ -2.86%

Letzte Woche4.146%▲ +3.06%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Monat4.079%▼ -4.55%

Letzten Monat4.147%▲ +3.04%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Jahr4.068%▼ -4.80%

Letztes Jahr4.318%▼ -1.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Jahre4.042%▼ -5.41%

Vor 5 Jahren1.635%▲ +161.35%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch

Technische Analyse

Bullish

Bullisch

Neutral

Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

Indikator	Wert	Signal
RSI 14	92.6	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.180%	Above
SMA 200	3.909%	Above
EMA 20	3.747%	Above

Historische Daten

Open4.208%

Start Date1985-01-01

Day Range4.216% – 4.273%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.962% – 4.275%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.962% – 4.295%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.743% – 4.803%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.208%	Start Date	1985-01-01
Day Range	4.216% – 4.273%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.962% – 4.275%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.962% – 4.295%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.743% – 4.803%	Max Supply	n/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

4.373%R3 — major ceiling

4.343%R2 — swing resistance

4.313%R1 — near-term resistance

4.273%Aktueller PreisUS10Y

4.188%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.059%S2 — structure support

3.931%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.313%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.188%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.98% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext

Recent4.273%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.273%Local High0.00%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.216%Local Low-1.33%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.079%Model 1M-4.54%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.068%Model 1Y-4.80%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.042%Model 5Y-5.41%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat

83%

Richtungsweisend

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.98% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in US10Y investieren

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Zielpreis4.786%

SzenarioBreakout continuation

Wahrscheinlichkeit32%

Base Case

$954.60

-4.54% from current

Zielpreis4.079%

SzenarioTrend-following baseline

Wahrscheinlichkeit40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Zielpreis3.931%

SzenarioVolatility drawdown

Wahrscheinlichkeit28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.55% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.98% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich US10Y mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt

	US10Y	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US2Y
US10Y	1.00	-0.95	0.71	-0.63	-0.16
UK10Y	-0.95	1.00	-0.75	0.75	0.28
US30Y	0.71	-0.75	1.00	-0.78	-0.44
DE10Y	-0.63	0.75	-0.78	1.00	0.82
US2Y	-0.16	0.28	-0.44	0.82	1.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 38/100

24H drift-1.20%

7D drift-2.86%

30D drift-4.55%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI92.8 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-4.55%

1Y outlook-4.80%

5Y outlook-5.41%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the US10Y forecast for tomorrow?

US10Y is projected near 4.222% versus the latest reference around 4.273%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US10Y?

The weekly model points to 4.151%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.86% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.079% (-4.55%), while the 1-year target is 4.068% (-4.80%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.042% with a modeled change of -5.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.313%, while nearest support is around 4.188%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.216% to 4.273%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.