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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 19:35 UTC

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▲ +0.14%TA Bärisch · Focus Preise + Makro

Prognosezusammenfassung

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Zeitrahmen	Voraussichtlicher Preis	Vergangenheit	Historisch	Einblick
Morgen	3.562% ▼ -1.20%	Gestern	3.600% ▲ +0.14%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Woche	3.500% ▼ -2.91%	Letzte Woche	3.588% ▲ +0.47%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat	3.409% ▼ -5.43%	Letzten Monat	3.590% ▲ +0.42%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr	3.365% ▼ -6.67%	Letztes Jahr	4.197% ▼ -14.11%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre	3.278% ▼ -9.07%	Vor 5 Jahren	0.025% ▲ +14320.00%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Morgen3.562%▼ -1.20%

Gestern3.600%▲ +0.14%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).

Woche3.500%▼ -2.91%

Letzte Woche3.588%▲ +0.47%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Monat3.409%▼ -5.43%

Letzten Monat3.590%▲ +0.42%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Jahr3.365%▼ -6.67%

Letztes Jahr4.197%▼ -14.11%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Jahre3.278%▼ -9.07%

Vor 5 Jahren0.025%▲ +14320.00%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch

Technische Analyse

Bullish

Bullisch

Neutral

Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

Indikator	Wert	Signal
RSI 14	89.5	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	3.544%	Above
SMA 200	3.231%	Above
EMA 20	2.965%	Above

Historische Daten

Open3.600%

Start Date1985-01-01

Day Range3.595% – 3.607%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.570% – 3.605%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.507% – 3.793%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.507% – 4.535%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.600%	Start Date	1985-01-01
Day Range	3.595% – 3.607%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.570% – 3.605%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.507% – 3.793%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.507% – 4.535%	Max Supply	n/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

3.641%R3 — major ceiling

3.630%R2 — swing resistance

3.898%R1 — near-term resistance

3.605%Aktueller PreisUS2Y

3.533%S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.425%S2 — structure support

3.317%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.898%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.533%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.25% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext

Recent3.605%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.607%Local High+0.06%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.595%Local Low-0.28%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.409%Model 1M-5.44%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.365%Model 1Y-6.66%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.278%Model 5Y-9.07%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat

84%

Richtungsweisend

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.25% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in US2Y investieren

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Zielpreis4.038%

SzenarioBreakout continuation

Wahrscheinlichkeit32%

Base Case

$945.63

-5.44% from current

Zielpreis3.409%

SzenarioTrend-following baseline

Wahrscheinlichkeit37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Zielpreis3.317%

SzenarioVolatility drawdown

Wahrscheinlichkeit31%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.43% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.25% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich US2Y mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt

	US2Y	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US10Y
US2Y	1.00	-0.96	0.72	-0.65	0.56
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	-0.75	0.75	-0.42
US30Y	0.72	-0.75	1.00	-0.78	0.29
DE10Y	-0.65	0.75	-0.78	1.00	0.18
US10Y	0.56	-0.42	0.29	0.18	1.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 37/100

24H drift-1.20%

7D drift-2.91%

30D drift-5.43%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI89.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 38/100

1M outlook-5.43%

1Y outlook-6.67%

5Y outlook-9.07%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?

US2Y is projected near 3.562% versus the latest reference around 3.605%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?

The weekly model points to 3.500%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.91% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.409% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.365% (-6.67%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.278% with a modeled change of -9.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.898%, while nearest support is around 3.533%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.595% to 3.607%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.