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Mga Pagtataya ng S&P 500 para sa Bukas, Linggo, buwan at 5 Taon

Na-update: Pebrero 16 · 2026 nang 21:36 UTC

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▲ +73.73%Teknikal na pagsusuri Neutral · Pokus na lugar Macro + teknikal

Buod ng Pagtataya

Takdang panahon	Hinulaang Presyo	nakaraan	Makasaysayan	Pananaw
Bukas	$6,950.77 ▲ +1.68%	Kahapon	$6,832.76 ▼ -1.57%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.77%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.77%).
Linggo	$7,140.10 ▲ +4.45%	Noong nakaraang Linggo	$6,882.72 ▼ -0.97%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
buwan	$7,467.57 ▲ +9.24%	Noong nakaraang Buwan	$6,845.50 ▲ +2.59%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
taon	$7,578.93 ▲ +10.87%	Noong nakaraang taon	$6,051.97 ▲ +20.40%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Taon	$7,957.44 ▲ +16.40%	5 Taon Nakaraan	$3,932.59 ▼ -35.02%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Bukas$6,950.77▲ +1.68%

Kahapon$6,832.76▼ -1.57%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.77%).

Linggo$7,140.10▲ +4.45%

Noong nakaraang Linggo$6,882.72▼ -0.97%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

buwan$7,467.57▲ +9.24%

Noong nakaraang Buwan$6,845.50▲ +2.59%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

taon$7,578.93▲ +10.87%

Noong nakaraang taon$6,051.97▲ +20.40%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Taon$7,957.44▲ +16.40%

5 Taon Nakaraan$3,932.59▼ -35.02%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Paunawa sa panganib:Ang hula na ito ay impormasyon lamang, hindi payo sa pananalapi; ang katumpakan ay nakasalalay sa pagkasumpungin, pagkatubig, mga kaganapang macro, at iba pang panlabas na salik.

Tsart ng Presyo

MakasaysayanPagtatayaBullishBearish

Teknikal na Pagsusuri

Bearish

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Mga Pangunahing Tagapagpahiwatig

Tagapagpahiwatig	Halaga	Signal
Index ng Relative Strength (RSI 14)	40.6	Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)	-16.55	Bearish
Simple Moving Average (SMA 50)	$6,894.63	sa ibaba
Simple Moving Average (SMA 200)	$6,504.72	sa itaas
Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20)	$3,902.97	sa itaas

Makasaysayang Data

Presyo ng pagbubukas$6,834.27

Petsa ng Pagsisimula

Saklaw ng Araw$6,794.55 – $6,881.96

Halaga ng merkado

Buwanang Saklaw$6,796.86 – $6,978.60

24 Dami ng Oras

90 na Saklaw ng Araw$6,538.76 – $6,978.60

Umiikot

52 Saklaw ng Linggo$4,982.77 – $6,978.60

Max Supply

Presyo ng pagbubukas	$6,834.27	Petsa ng Pagsisimula
Saklaw ng Araw	$6,794.55 – $6,881.96	Halaga ng merkado
Buwanang Saklaw	$6,796.86 – $6,978.60	24 Dami ng Oras
90 na Saklaw ng Araw	$6,538.76 – $6,978.60	Umiikot
52 Saklaw ng Linggo	$4,982.77 – $6,978.60	Max Supply

Mga Antas ng Suporta at Paglaban

$7,078.88R3 — upper range

$6,986.42R2 — swing high

$6,917.07R1 — near-term cap

$6,836.17Kasalukuyang PresyoSPX

$6,755.27S1 — short-term supportSupport

$6,685.92S2 — trend support

$6,593.46S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is $6,917.07; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near $6,755.27; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.77%.

Mga Milestone sa Presyo

Mga pangunahing antas at kontekstong pangkasaysayan

Kamakailan$6,836.17Kasalukuyan

Kasalukuyang antas ng sanggunian.

90D Mataas$6,978.60Mataas na Saklaw

Pinakamataas na pagsasara sa kamakailang lookback window.

90D Mababa$6,538.76Mababa ang Saklaw

Pinakamababang pagsasara sa kamakailang lookback window.

Katumpakan ng Pagtataya

Paano gumanap ang aming modelo

73%

Direksyon

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Ang aming algorithm ay muling na-calibrate linggu-linggo gamit ang pinakabagong pagkilos ng presyo, regime ng volatility, at indicator signal. Nag-iiba-iba ang katumpakan ayon sa timeframe — mas maaasahan ang panandaliang momentum kaysa sa mga pangmatagalang projection.

Tomorrow

77%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

71%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

66%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Mga Sitwasyon sa Pamumuhunan

Kung mamumuhunan ka ng $1,000 sa SPX ngayon

Bullish Case

$1,308.21

+30.82% from current

Target na Presyo$8,943.14

SitwasyonBreakout continuation

Probability25%

Base Case

$1,108.65

+10.87% from current

Target na Presyo$7,578.93

SitwasyonTrend-following baseline

Probability50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Target na Presyo$6,015.83

SitwasyonVolatility drawdown

Probability25%

Batayan: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.77% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-araw na rolling · kung paano gumagalaw ang SPX kasama ng iba pang mga asset

	SPX
SPX	1.00

Mga Salik sa Pagtataya

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 71/100

24H drift+1.68%

7D drift+4.45%

30D drift+9.24%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI40.3 · Neutral

MACD-16.59 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 62/100

1M outlook+9.24%

1Y outlook+10.87%

5Y outlook+16.40%

Mga Madalas Itanong

Q What is the S&P 500 forecast for tomorrow?

S&P 500 is projected near $6,950.77 versus the latest reference around $6,836.17. That implies a modeled move of +1.68% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for S&P 500?

The weekly model points to $7,140.10, which maps to an expected drift of +4.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $7,467.57 (+9.24%), while the 1-year target is $7,578.93 (+10.87%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $7,957.44 with a modeled change of +16.40%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $6,917.07, while nearest support is around $6,755.27. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Mga Pagtataya ng S&P 500 para sa Bukas, Linggo, buwan at 5 Taon

Buod ng Pagtataya

Tsart ng Presyo

Teknikal na Pagsusuri

Mga Pangunahing Tagapagpahiwatig

Makasaysayang Data

Mga Antas ng Suporta at Paglaban

Mga Milestone sa Presyo

Katumpakan ng Pagtataya

Mga Sitwasyon sa Pamumuhunan

Correlation Matrix

Mga Salik sa Pagtataya

Mga Madalas Itanong

Mga Inirerekomendang Pagtataya

Mas malalakas na pataas na ideya

Mas mahihinang pababang ideya