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Mga Pagtataya ng USD/IDR para sa Bukas, Linggo, buwan at 5 Taon

Na-update: Pebrero 16 · 2026 nang 21:36 UTC

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▲ +21.09%Teknikal na pagsusuri Bullish · Pokus na lugar Macro + teknikal

Buod ng Pagtataya

Takdang panahon	Hinulaang Presyo	nakaraan	Makasaysayan	Pananaw
Bukas	16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%	Kahapon	16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Linggo	17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%	Noong nakaraang Linggo	16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
buwan	17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%	Noong nakaraang Buwan	16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
taon	17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%	Noong nakaraang taon	16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Taon	17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%	5 Taon Nakaraan	14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Bukas16,927.8098▲ +0.52%

Kahapon16,809.0000▲ +0.09%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

Linggo17,072.5913▲ +1.38%

Noong nakaraang Linggo16,800.0000▲ +0.39%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

buwan17,322.3336▲ +2.86%

Noong nakaraang Buwan16,683.0000▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

taon17,530.2240▲ +4.10%

Noong nakaraang taon16,245.0996▲ +3.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Taon17,936.6578▲ +6.51%

5 Taon Nakaraan14,558.0000▼ -10.39%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Paunawa sa panganib:Ang hula na ito ay impormasyon lamang, hindi payo sa pananalapi; ang katumpakan ay nakasalalay sa pagkasumpungin, pagkatubig, mga kaganapang macro, at iba pang panlabas na salik.

Tsart ng Presyo

MakasaysayanPagtatayaBullishBearish

Teknikal na Pagsusuri

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Mga Pangunahing Tagapagpahiwatig

Tagapagpahiwatig	Halaga	Signal
Index ng Relative Strength (RSI 14)	61.4	Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)	-122.12	Bearish
Simple Moving Average (SMA 50)	16,759.8120	sa itaas
Simple Moving Average (SMA 200)	16,507.4959	sa itaas
Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20)	14,141.9900	sa itaas

Makasaysayang Data

Presyo ng pagbubukas16,835.0000

Petsa ng Pagsisimula

Saklaw ng Araw16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000

Halaga ng merkado

Buwanang Saklaw16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996

24 Dami ng Oras

90 na Saklaw ng Araw16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996

Umiikot

52 Saklaw ng Linggo15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004

Max Supply

Presyo ng pagbubukas	16,835.0000	Petsa ng Pagsisimula
Saklaw ng Araw	16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000	Halaga ng merkado
Buwanang Saklaw	16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996	24 Dami ng Oras
90 na Saklaw ng Araw	16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996	Umiikot
52 Saklaw ng Linggo	15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004	Max Supply

Mga Antas ng Suporta at Paglaban

17,193.6400Paglaban 3 — itaas na hanay

17,058.9200Paglaban 2 — indayog nang mataas

16,957.8800Paglaban 1 — malapit-matagalang cap

16,840.0000Kasalukuyang PresyoUSD

16,722.1200Suporta 1 — panandaliang suportaSuporta

16,621.0800Suporta 2 — suporta sa trend

16,486.3600Suporta 3 — mababa ang saklaw

↑

Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

Mga Milestone sa Presyo

Mga pangunahing antas at kontekstong pangkasaysayan

Kamakailan16,840.0000Kasalukuyan

Kasalukuyang antas ng sanggunian.

90D Mataas16,960.0996Mataas na Saklaw

Pinakamataas na pagsasara sa kamakailang lookback window.

90D Mababa16,150.0000Mababa ang Saklaw

Pinakamababang pagsasara sa kamakailang lookback window.

Katumpakan ng Pagtataya

Paano gumanap ang aming modelo

74%

Direksyon

Katumpakan ng Pagtataya

Ang kumpiyansa ng modelo ay sinusuportahan ng stable na volatility at magkakaugnay na mga signal ng trend.

📊

Ang aming algorithm ay muling na-calibrate linggu-linggo gamit ang pinakabagong pagkilos ng presyo, regime ng volatility, at indicator signal. Nag-iiba-iba ang katumpakan ayon sa timeframe — mas maaasahan ang panandaliang momentum kaysa sa mga pangmatagalang projection.

Bukas

78%

Rate ng hit ng direksyon

7 Araw

75%

Rate ng hit ng direksyon

30 Araw

72%

Rate ng hit ng direksyon

1 Taon

67%

Rate ng hit ng direksyon

Avg. Error sa Presyo (30D)

±14%

Ibig sabihin absolute deviation

Huling tamang signal

Kamakailan

Senyas ng direksyon ✓

Mga Sitwasyon sa Pamumuhunan

Kung mamumuhunan ka ng $1,000 sa USD ngayon

Bullish Case

$1,228.36

+22.84% from current

Target na Presyo20,685.6643

SitwasyonBreakout continuation

Probability25%

Base Case

$1,040.99

+4.10% from current

Target na Presyo17,530.2240

SitwasyonTrend-following baseline

Probability50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Target na Presyo14,819.2000

SitwasyonVolatility drawdown

Probability25%

Batayan: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-araw na rolling · kung paano gumagalaw ang USD kasama ng iba pang mga asset

	USD
USD	1.00

Mga Salik sa Pagtataya

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.52%

7D drift+1.38%

30D drift+2.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI61.3 · Bullish

MACD-122.13 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.86%

1Y outlook+4.10%

5Y outlook+6.51%

Mga Madalas Itanong

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Mga Pagtataya ng USD/IDR para sa Bukas, Linggo, buwan at 5 Taon

Buod ng Pagtataya

Tsart ng Presyo

Teknikal na Pagsusuri

Mga Pangunahing Tagapagpahiwatig

Makasaysayang Data

Mga Antas ng Suporta at Paglaban

Mga Milestone sa Presyo

Katumpakan ng Pagtataya

Mga Sitwasyon sa Pamumuhunan

Correlation Matrix

Mga Salik sa Pagtataya

Mga Madalas Itanong

Mga Inirerekomendang Pagtataya

Mas malalakas na pataas na ideya

Mas mahihinang pababang ideya