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Прогноз USD/JPY: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

Период	Прогнозная цена	Прошлое	Историч.	Комментарий
Завтра	153.6658 ▲ +0.10%	Вчера	153.4892 ▲ +0.52%	Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Неделя	153.9824 ▲ +0.31%	Прошлая неделя	154.3198 ▼ -0.93%	The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Месяц	154.2239 ▲ +0.47%	Прошлый месяц	157.7975 ▲ +2.03%	The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Год	153.6189 ▲ +0.07%	Прошлый год	143.4900 ▼ -0.90%	The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 лет	153.6142 ▲ +0.07%	5 лет назад	144.8000 ▲ +0.91%	The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Завтра153.6658▲ +0.10%

Вчера153.4892▲ +0.52%

Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.

Неделя153.9824▲ +0.31%

Прошлая неделя154.3198▼ -0.93%

The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.

Месяц154.2239▲ +0.47%

Прошлый месяц157.7975▲ +2.03%

The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Год153.6189▲ +0.07%

Прошлый год143.4900▼ -0.90%

The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.

5 лет153.6142▲ +0.07%

5 лет назад144.8000▲ +0.91%

The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий

Технический анализ

Bearish

Бычий

Нейтрально

Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

Индикатор	Значение	Сигнал
RSI 14	32.5	Bearish
MACD	-2.07	Bearish
SMA 50	156.0724	Below
SMA 200	152.0104	Above
EMA 20	147.4607	Above

Исторические данные

Open153.4862

Start Date

Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253

Market Cap

Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.4268

24h Volume

90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224

Circulating

52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224

Max Supply

Open	153.4862	Start Date
Day Range	153.4495 – 153.5253	Market Cap
Monthly Range	152.7024 – 158.4268	24h Volume
90D Range	152.7024 – 159.1224	Circulating
52W Range	140.8250 – 159.1224	Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

157.3787R3 — upper range

155.9042R2 — swing high

154.7983R1 — near-term cap

153.5081Текущая ценаUSD

152.2179S1 — short-term supportSupport

151.1120S2 — trend support

149.6375S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 154.7983; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 152.2179; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст

Recent153.5081Current

Current reference level.

90D High159.1224Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low152.7024Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм

74%

Направление

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в USD сегодня

Bullish Case

$1,180.85

+18.09% from current

Целевая цена181.2704

СценарийBreakout continuation

Вероятность25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Целевая цена159.6484

СценарийTrend-following baseline

Вероятность50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Целевая цена135.0871

СценарийVolatility drawdown

Вероятность25%

Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 51/100

24H drift+0.10%

7D drift+0.31%

30D drift+0.47%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 25/100

RSI32.5 · Bearish

MACD-2.07 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook+0.47%

1Y outlook+0.07%

5Y outlook+0.07%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the USD/JPY (USD) forecast for tomorrow?

Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/JPY is projected near 153.6658 versus the current reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly USD/JPY model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the USD/JPY 1-month and 1-year targets?

The USD/JPY 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Q Why does the USD/JPY 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?

The USD/JPY long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?

For USD/JPY, nearest resistance is around 154.7983, while nearest support is around 152.2179. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh is the USD/JPY market snapshot?

The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

Прогноз USD/JPY: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Сводка прогноза

График цены

Технический анализ

Ключевые индикаторы

Исторические данные

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

Ценовые вехи

Точность прогноза

Инвестиционные сценарии

Факторы прогноза

Частые вопросы

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Weaker Bearish Ideas