Прогноз USD/BRL: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Источник котировки проверен: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC · Может применяться последняя завершённая торговая сессия.

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▼ -2.99%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

Период	Прогнозная цена	Прошлое	Историч.	Комментарий
Завтра	5.1835 ▼ -0.46%	Вчера	5.2139 ▲ +0.29%	Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
Неделя	5.1432 ▼ -1.23%	На прошлой неделе	5.2380 ▼ -0.78%	The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
Месяц	5.0389 ▼ -3.24%	В прошлом месяце	5.4216 ▲ +1.75%	The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Год	5.0730 ▼ -2.58%	В прошлом году	5.7013 ▲ +15.30%	The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 лет	4.9976 ▼ -4.03%	5 лет назад	5.6793 ▼ -0.39%	The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Завтра5.1835▼ -0.46%

Вчера5.2139▲ +0.29%

Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.

Неделя5.1432▼ -1.23%

На прошлой неделе5.2380▼ -0.78%

The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.

Месяц5.0389▼ -3.24%

В прошлом месяце5.4216▲ +1.75%

The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Год5.0730▼ -2.58%

В прошлом году5.7013▲ +15.30%

The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.

5 лет4.9976▼ -4.03%

5 лет назад5.6793▼ -0.39%

The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий

Технический анализ

Bearish

Бычий

Нейтрально

Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

Индикатор	Значение	Сигнал
RSI 14	39.6	Bearish
MACD	-0.07	Bearish
SMA 50	5.3664	Below
SMA 200	5.4351	Below
EMA 20	5.5047	Below

Исторические данные

Open5.2240

Start Date

Day Range5.2074 – 5.2243

Market Cap

Monthly Range5.1836 – 5.4075

24h Volume

90D Range5.1836 – 5.5900

Circulating

52W Range5.1836 – 6.0205

Max Supply

Open	5.2240	Start Date
Day Range	5.2074 – 5.2243	Market Cap
Monthly Range	5.1836 – 5.4075	24h Volume
90D Range	5.1836 – 5.5900	Circulating
52W Range	5.1836 – 6.0205	Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

5.3399R3 — upper range

5.2894R2 — swing high

5.2516R1 — near-term cap

5.2074Текущая ценаUSD

5.1632S1 — short-term supportSupport

5.1254S2 — trend support

5.0749S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 5.2516; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 5.1632; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст

Recent5.2074Current

Current reference level.

90D High5.5900Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low5.1836Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в USD сегодня

Bullish Case

$1,149.56

+14.96% from current

Целевая цена5.9862

СценарийBreakout continuation

Вероятность25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Целевая цена5.4157

СценарийTrend-following baseline

Вероятность50%

Bearish Case

$870.87

-12.91% from current

Целевая цена4.5350

СценарийVolatility drawdown

Вероятность25%

Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.13% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 44/100

24H drift-0.46%

7D drift-1.23%

30D drift-3.24%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 8/100

RSI39.7 · Bearish

MACD-0.06 · Bearish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 44/100

1M outlook-3.24%

1Y outlook-2.58%

5Y outlook-4.03%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the USD/BRL (USD) forecast for tomorrow?

Using the source-checked BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/BRL is projected near 5.1835 versus the current reference around 5.2074. That implies a modeled move of -0.46% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly USD/BRL model points to 5.1432, which maps to an expected drift of -1.23% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the USD/BRL 1-month and 1-year targets?

The USD/BRL 1-month target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), while the 1-year target is 5.0730 (-2.58%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Q Why does the USD/BRL 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?

The USD/BRL long-horizon scenario sits near 4.9976 with a modeled change of -4.03%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?

For USD/BRL, nearest resistance is around 5.2516, while nearest support is around 5.1632. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh is the USD/BRL market snapshot?

The quote source was checked at February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. For traditional markets, this can be the last completed trading session when the market is closed. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.