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EUR/JPY Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +42.28%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра183.3736 ▲ +0.80%Вчера181.3720 ▼ -0.36%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Неделя185.5567 ▲ +2.00%Прошлая неделя185.1830 ▲ +1.04%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц191.0126 ▲ +5.00%Прошлый месяц183.7470 ▲ +1.43%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год194.6313 ▲ +6.99%Прошлый год156.8790 ▼ -3.94%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет202.6741 ▲ +11.41%5 лет назад130.5100 ▼ -16.81%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра183.3736▲ +0.80%
Вчера181.3720▼ -0.36%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Неделя185.5567▲ +2.00%
Прошлая неделя185.1830▲ +1.04%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц191.0126▲ +5.00%
Прошлый месяц183.7470▲ +1.43%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год194.6313▲ +6.99%
Прошлый год156.8790▼ -3.94%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет202.6741▲ +11.41%
5 лет назад130.5100▼ -16.81%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
188.0506186.3312184.6118182.8924181.17311W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bearish
2
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
3
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1443.5 Bearish
MACD-0.50 Bearish
SMA 50183.5290 Below
SMA 200175.0727 Above
EMA 20128.5918 Above

Исторические данные

Open181.0650
Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970
Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.2900
24h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900
Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900
Max Supply
Open181.0650Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.290024h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

186.2623R3 — upper range
184.6077R2 — swing high
183.3668R1 — near-term cap
181.9190Текущая ценаEUR
180.4712S1 — short-term supportSupport
179.2303S2 — trend support
177.5757S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 183.3668; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 180.4712; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.52%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent181.9190Current
Current reference level.
90D High186.2900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low175.5560Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
74%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в EUR сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,262.46
+26.25% from current
Целевая цена229.6649
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,069.88
+6.99% from current
Целевая цена194.6313
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Целевая цена160.0887
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.52% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как EUR движется вместе с другими активами
EUR
EUR1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI43.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.52 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+6.99%
5Y outlook+11.41%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/JPY is projected near 183.3736 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?
The weekly model points to 185.5567, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 191.0126 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 194.6313 (+6.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 202.6741 with a modeled change of +11.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 183.3668, while nearest support is around 180.4712. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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