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Прогнозы USD/HKD для Завтра, Неделя, Месяц и 5 лет

Обновлено: 20 апреля 2026 г. 13:05 UTC
▲ +0.00%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра7.8202 -0.14%Вчера7.8308 +0.00%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Неделя7.8291 -0.03%Прошлая неделя7.8323 -0.02%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц7.8514 +0.26%Прошлый месяц7.8336 -0.03%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год7.8505 +0.25%Прошлый год7.7618 +0.89%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет7.8706 +0.50%5 лет назад7.7614 +0.90%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра7.8202 -0.14%
Вчера7.8308 +0.00%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Неделя7.8291 -0.03%
Прошлая неделя7.8323 -0.02%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц7.8514 +0.26%
Прошлый месяц7.8336 -0.03%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год7.8505 +0.25%
Прошлый год7.7618 +0.89%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет7.8706 +0.50%
5 лет назад7.7614 +0.90%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
7.93437.88177.82917.77657.72391W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bullish
1
Бычий
4
Нейтрально
0
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1482.0 Bullish
MACD-0.00 Neutral
SMA 507.8325 Mid
SMA 2007.8168 Mid
EMA 207.8190 Mid

Исторические данные

Opening Price7.8308
Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range7.8287 – 7.8341
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.8181 – 7.8384
24h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7709 – 7.8384
Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price7.8308Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range7.8287 – 7.8341Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.8181 – 7.838424h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7709 – 7.8384Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499Max Supplyn/a

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

7.9094R3 — major ceiling
7.8859R2 — swing resistance
7.8624R1 — near-term resistance
7.8311Текущая ценаUSD
7.8127S1 — near-term supportSupport
7.7968S2 — structure support
7.7670S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 7.8624; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 7.8127; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.20% daily realized volatility.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent7.8311Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High7.8341Local High+0.04%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low7.8287Local Low-0.03%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target7.8514Model 1M+0.26%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target7.8505Model 1Y+0.25%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario7.8706Model 5Y+0.50%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
84%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.20% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в USD сегодня
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Целевая цена8.7708
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность32%
Base Case
$1002.59
+0.26% from current
Целевая цена7.8514
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Целевая цена7.2046
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность28%
Основание: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+0.26%) and realized daily volatility (0.20%).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как USD движется вместе с другими активами
USD
USD1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 50/100
24H drift-0.14%
7D drift-0.03%
30D drift+0.26%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 65/100
RSI82.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+0.26%
1Y outlook+0.25%
5Y outlook+0.50%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the USD/HKD forecast for tomorrow?
USD/HKD is projected near 7.8202 versus the latest reference around 7.8311. That implies a modeled move of -0.14% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HKD?
The weekly model points to 7.8291, which maps to an expected drift of -0.03% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 7.8514 (+0.26%), while the 1-year target is 7.8505 (+0.25%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 7.8706 with a modeled change of +0.50%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 7.8624, while nearest support is around 7.8127. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 7.8287 to 7.8341. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.