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Financial Select Sector SPDR Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +63.86%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра$52.78 ▲ +2.18%Вчера$51.69 ▼ -1.99%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Неделя$54.69 ▲ +5.88%Прошлая неделя$53.96 ▲ +1.03%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$58.10 ▲ +12.49%Прошлый месяц$54.77 ▲ +6.45%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$54.80 ▲ +6.09%Прошлый год$51.36 ▲ +31.42%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$56.15 ▲ +8.72%5 лет назад$32.06 ▼ -37.58%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра$52.78▲ +2.18%
Вчера$51.69▼ -1.99%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Неделя$54.69▲ +5.88%
Прошлая неделя$53.96▲ +1.03%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$58.10▲ +12.49%
Прошлый месяц$54.77▲ +6.45%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$54.80▲ +6.09%
Прошлый год$51.36▲ +31.42%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$56.15▲ +8.72%
5 лет назад$32.06▼ -37.58%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
$56.06$54.95$53.83$52.71$51.591W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bearish
1
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
4
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1437.6 Bearish
MACD-0.55 Bearish
SMA 50$54.24 Below
SMA 200$52.74 Below
EMA 20$33.09 Above

Исторические данные

Open$51.55
Start Date
Day Range$51.25 – $51.93
Market Cap
Monthly Range$51.65 – $56.40
24h Volume
90D Range$51.11 – $56.40
Circulating
52W Range$43.92 – $56.40
Max Supply
Open$51.55Start Date
Day Range$51.25 – $51.93Market Cap
Monthly Range$51.65 – $56.4024h Volume
90D Range$51.11 – $56.40Circulating
52W Range$43.92 – $56.40Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

$54.24R3 — upper range
$53.26R2 — swing high
$52.51R1 — near-term cap
$51.65Текущая ценаXLF
$50.79S1 — short-term supportSupport
$50.04S2 — trend support
$49.06S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $52.51; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $50.79; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 1.09%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent$51.65Current
Current reference level.
90D High$56.40Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$51.11Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
74%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в XLF сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,251.90
+25.19% from current
Целевая цена$64.66
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,060.93
+6.09% from current
Целевая цена$54.80
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Целевая цена$45.45
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.19% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.09% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как XLF движется вместе с другими активами
XLF
XLF1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 77/100
24H drift+2.18%
7D drift+5.88%
30D drift+12.49%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 16/100
RSI37.2 · Bearish
MACD-0.60 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+12.49%
1Y outlook+6.09%
5Y outlook+8.72%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the Financial Select Sector SPDR forecast for tomorrow?
Financial Select Sector SPDR is projected near $52.78 versus the latest reference around $51.65. That implies a modeled move of +2.18% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Financial Select Sector SPDR?
The weekly model points to $54.69, which maps to an expected drift of +5.88% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $58.10 (+12.49%), while the 1-year target is $54.80 (+6.09%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $56.15 with a modeled change of +8.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $52.51, while nearest support is around $50.79. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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