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Energy Select Sector SPDR Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +143.34%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра$55.66 ▲ +2.41%Вчера$53.98 ▼ -1.82%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Неделя$58.01 ▲ +6.74%Прошлая неделя$52.83 ▲ +7.33%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$61.35 ▲ +12.88%Прошлый месяц$44.71 ▼ -1.02%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$63.39 ▲ +16.64%Прошлый год$44.52 ▲ +6.88%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$69.22 ▲ +27.36%5 лет назад$22.90 ▼ -48.57%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра$55.66▲ +2.41%
Вчера$53.98▼ -1.82%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Неделя$58.01▲ +6.74%
Прошлая неделя$52.83▲ +7.33%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$61.35▲ +12.88%
Прошлый месяц$44.71▼ -1.02%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$63.39▲ +16.64%
Прошлый год$44.52▲ +6.88%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$69.22▲ +27.36%
5 лет назад$22.90▼ -48.57%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
$60.08$58.46$56.83$55.21$53.581W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bullish
4
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
1
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1474.9 Bullish
MACD-0.52 Bearish
SMA 50$47.78 Above
SMA 200$44.52 Above
EMA 20$24.34 Above

Исторические данные

Open$53.94
Start Date
Day Range$53.81 – $54.58
Market Cap
Monthly Range$45.13 – $54.98
24h Volume
90D Range$42.61 – $54.98
Circulating
52W Range$38.22 – $54.98
Max Supply
Open$53.94Start Date
Day Range$53.81 – $54.58Market Cap
Monthly Range$45.13 – $54.9824h Volume
90D Range$42.61 – $54.98Circulating
52W Range$38.22 – $54.98Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

$58.21R3 — upper range
$56.74R2 — swing high
$55.64R1 — near-term cap
$54.35Текущая ценаXLE
$53.06S1 — short-term supportSupport
$51.96S2 — trend support
$50.49S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $55.64; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $53.06; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 1.54%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent$54.35Current
Current reference level.
90D High$54.98Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$42.61Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
77%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
81%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
70%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в XLE сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,376.31
+37.63% from current
Целевая цена$74.80
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,166.37
+16.64% from current
Целевая цена$63.39
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Целевая цена$47.83
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.66% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.54% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как XLE движется вместе с другими активами
XLE
XLE1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 80/100
24H drift+2.41%
7D drift+6.74%
30D drift+12.88%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 63/100
RSI74.5 · Bullish
MACD-0.57 · Bearish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 68/100
1M outlook+12.88%
1Y outlook+16.64%
5Y outlook+27.36%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the Energy Select Sector SPDR forecast for tomorrow?
Energy Select Sector SPDR is projected near $55.66 versus the latest reference around $54.35. That implies a modeled move of +2.41% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Energy Select Sector SPDR?
The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of +6.74% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.35 (+12.88%), while the 1-year target is $63.39 (+16.64%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $69.22 with a modeled change of +27.36%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $55.64, while nearest support is around $53.06. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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