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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +73.63%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра$693.02 ▲ +1.65%Вчера$681.27 ▼ -1.54%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Неделя$711.62 ▲ +4.38%Прошлая неделя$686.19 ▼ -0.94%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$743.79 ▲ +9.10%Прошлый месяц$681.92 ▲ +2.44%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$753.97 ▲ +10.59%Прошлый год$603.36 ▲ +20.38%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$791.72 ▲ +16.13%5 лет назад$392.30 ▼ -34.98%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра$693.02▲ +1.65%
Вчера$681.27▼ -1.54%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Неделя$711.62▲ +4.38%
Прошлая неделя$686.19▼ -0.94%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$743.79▲ +9.10%
Прошлый месяц$681.92▲ +2.44%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$753.97▲ +10.59%
Прошлый год$603.36▲ +20.38%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$791.72▲ +16.13%
5 лет назад$392.30▼ -34.98%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
$724.11$713.62$703.13$692.64$682.161W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bearish
2
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
3
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1440.7 Bearish
MACD-1.60 Bearish
SMA 50$687.36 Below
SMA 200$648.65 Above
EMA 20$389.61 Above

Исторические данные

Open$681.69
Start Date
Day Range$677.52 – $686.28
Market Cap
Monthly Range$677.58 – $695.49
24h Volume
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulating
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supply
Open$681.69Start Date
Day Range$677.52 – $686.28Market Cap
Monthly Range$677.58 – $695.4924h Volume
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulating
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

$705.59R3 — upper range
$696.51R2 — swing high
$689.70R1 — near-term cap
$681.75Текущая ценаSPY
$673.80S1 — short-term supportSupport
$666.99S2 — trend support
$657.91S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $689.70; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $673.80; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.76%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent$681.75Current
Current reference level.
90D High$695.49Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$652.53Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
73%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в SPY сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,305.00
+30.50% from current
Целевая цена$889.68
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,105.93
+10.59% from current
Целевая цена$753.97
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Целевая цена$599.94
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.76% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как SPY движется вместе с другими активами
SPY
SPY1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 70/100
24H drift+1.65%
7D drift+4.38%
30D drift+9.10%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI40.4 · Neutral
MACD-1.64 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 62/100
1M outlook+9.10%
1Y outlook+10.59%
5Y outlook+16.13%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF forecast for tomorrow?
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is projected near $693.02 versus the latest reference around $681.75. That implies a modeled move of +1.65% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
The weekly model points to $711.62, which maps to an expected drift of +4.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $743.79 (+9.10%), while the 1-year target is $753.97 (+10.59%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $791.72 with a modeled change of +16.13%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $689.70, while nearest support is around $673.80. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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