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US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

dikemas kini: March 13, 2026 at 22:14 UTC

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▲ +0.47%TA Berkecuali · Focus Kadar + makro

Ringkasan Ramalan

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Jangka masa	Harga Ramalan	lalu	Bersejarah	Wawasan
Esok	4.849% ▼ -1.19%	Semalam	4.885% ▲ +0.47%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Minggu	4.792% ▼ -2.36%	Minggu lepas	4.755% ▲ +3.22%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
bulan	4.845% ▼ -1.28%	Bulan lepas	4.814% ▲ +1.95%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
tahun	4.772% ▼ -2.78%	Tahun lepas	4.597% ▲ +6.77%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun	4.793% ▼ -2.34%	5 Tahun Lalu	2.402% ▲ +104.33%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Esok4.849%▼ -1.19%

Semalam4.885%▲ +0.47%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Minggu4.792%▼ -2.36%

Minggu lepas4.755%▲ +3.22%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

bulan4.845%▼ -1.28%

Bulan lepas4.814%▲ +1.95%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

tahun4.772%▼ -2.78%

Tahun lepas4.597%▲ +6.77%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Tahun4.793%▼ -2.34%

5 Tahun Lalu2.402%▲ +104.33%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Carta Harga

BersejarahRamalanBullishBearish

Analisis Teknikal

Bullish

Berkecuali

Bearish

Petunjuk Utama

Penunjuk	Nilai	Isyarat
RSI 14	89.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.839%	Above
SMA 200	4.539%	Above
EMA 20	4.419%	Above

Data Sejarah

Open4.885%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.869% – 4.916%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.633% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.080% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.885%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.869% – 4.916%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.633% – 4.915%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.633% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.080% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

Tahap Sokongan & Rintangan

4.996%R3 — major ceiling

4.969%R2 — swing resistance

4.943%R1 — near-term resistance

4.908%Harga SemasaUS30Y

4.810%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.663%S2 — structure support

4.515%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.943%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.810%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.74% daily realized volatility.

Pencapaian Harga

Tahap utama & konteks sejarah

Recent4.908%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.916%Local High+0.16%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.869%Local Low-0.79%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.845%Model 1M-1.28%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.772%Model 1Y-2.77%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-2.34%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Ketepatan Ramalan

Bagaimana prestasi model kami

83%

arah

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Algoritma kami ditentukur semula setiap minggu menggunakan tindakan harga terkini, rejim turun naik dan isyarat penunjuk. Ketepatan berbeza mengikut jangka masa — momentum jangka pendek lebih dipercayai daripada unjuran jangka panjang.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Senario Pelaburan

Jika anda melabur $1,000 dalam US30Y hari ini

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Harga Sasaran5.497%

SenarioBreakout continuation

Kebarangkalian32%

Base Case

$987.16

-1.28% from current

Harga Sasaran4.845%

SenarioTrend-following baseline

Kebarangkalian40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Harga Sasaran4.515%

SenarioVolatility drawdown

Kebarangkalian28%

Asas: Scenario engine blends live drift (-1.28% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.74% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Bergulir 30 hari · cara US30Y bergerak dengan aset lain

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.97	-0.69	0.51	-0.24
UK10Y	-0.97	1.00	0.75	-0.43	0.28
DE10Y	-0.69	0.75	1.00	0.18	0.82
US10Y	0.51	-0.43	0.18	1.00	0.66
US2Y	-0.24	0.28	0.82	0.66	1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 42/100

24H drift-1.19%

7D drift-2.36%

30D drift-1.28%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI90.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 46/100

1M outlook-1.28%

1Y outlook-2.78%

5Y outlook-2.34%

Soalan Lazim

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.849% versus the latest reference around 4.908%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.792%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.36% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.845% (-1.28%), while the 1-year target is 4.772% (-2.78%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -2.34%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.943%, while nearest support is around 4.810%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.869% to 4.916%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.