» 모두 » 암호화폐 예측 » Polkadot to USD 예측

Polkadot 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +1.39%Rank #38 · Market Cap $2,285,368,702 · Volume $93,056,426 · Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area On-chain + flow

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$1.32 -3.47%어제$5.05 +14.51%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).
$1.25 -8.42%지난주$4.30 +17.81%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$1.18 -14.03%전달$3.87 +19.08%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$1.73 +26.49%작년$1.36 0.00%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$1.99 +44.98%5년 전$1.36 0.00%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$1.32 -3.47%
어제$5.05 +14.51%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).
$1.25 -8.42%
지난주$4.30 +17.81%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$1.18 -14.03%
전달$3.87 +19.08%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$1.73 +26.49%
작년$1.36 0.00%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$1.99 +44.98%
5년 전$1.36 0.00%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$4.72$3.80$2.89$1.97$1.051W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
1
강세
1
중립적
3
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1467.1 Bullish
MACD-0.47 Bearish
SMA 50$4.09 Below
SMA 200-- Mid
EMA 20$1.93 Below

과거 데이터

Open$1.37
Start Date
Day Range$1.34 – $1.38
Market Cap$2,285,368,702
Monthly Range$3.63 – $5.09
24h Volume$93,056,426
90D Range$1.37 – $5.09
Circulating1,665,975,062
52W Range$1.25 – $5.09
Max Supply2,100,000,000
Open$1.37Start Date
Day Range$1.34 – $1.38Market Cap$2,285,368,702
Monthly Range$3.63 – $5.0924h Volume$93,056,426
90D Range$1.37 – $5.09Circulating1,665,975,062
52W Range$1.25 – $5.09Max Supply2,100,000,000

지지 및 저항 수준

$1.81R3 — upper range
$1.64R2 — swing high
$1.52R1 — near-term cap
$1.37현재 가격DOT
$1.22S1 — short-term supportSupport
$1.10S2 — trend support
$0.93S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $1.52; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $1.22; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 6.99%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$1.37Current
Current reference level.
24h High$1.38Local High
Recent intraday high.
24h Low$1.34Local Low
Recent intraday low.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
81%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 DOT에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,492.64
+49.26% from current
목표가격$2.04
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,264.95
+26.49% from current
목표가격$1.73
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$720.60
-27.94% from current
목표가격$0.9872
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+1.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (6.99% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · DOT가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
DOT
DOT1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 14/100
24H drift-3.47%
7D drift-8.42%
30D drift-14.03%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 42/100
RSI67.7 · Bullish
MACD-0.39 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 55/100
1M outlook-14.03%
1Y outlook+26.49%
5Y outlook+44.98%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the Polkadot forecast for tomorrow?
Polkadot is projected near $1.32 versus the latest reference around $1.37. That implies a modeled move of -3.47% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Polkadot?
The weekly model points to $1.25, which maps to an expected drift of -8.42% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $1.18 (-14.03%), while the 1-year target is $1.73 (+26.49%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $1.99 with a modeled change of +44.98%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $1.52, while nearest support is around $1.22. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $1.34 to $1.38. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.