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Hang Seng Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 15:31 UTC

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예측 요약

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기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	$26,149.71 ▲ +2.69%	어제	$25,465.60 • +0.00%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.10%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.10%).
주	$26,289.75 ▲ +3.24%	지난주	$25,757.29 ▼ -1.13%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	$25,971.25 ▲ +1.99%	전달	$26,567.12 ▼ -4.15%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	$26,305.50 ▲ +3.30%	작년	$23,959.98 ▲ +6.28%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	$26,121.12 ▲ +2.57%	5년 전	$29,027.69 ▼ -12.27%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일$26,149.71▲ +2.69%

어제$25,465.60• +0.00%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.10%).

주$26,289.75▲ +3.24%

지난주$25,757.29▼ -1.13%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월$25,971.25▲ +1.99%

전달$26,567.12▼ -4.15%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도$26,305.50▲ +3.30%

작년$23,959.98▲ +6.28%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년$26,121.12▲ +2.57%

5년 전$29,027.69▼ -12.27%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Neutral

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	35.0	Bearish
MACD	0.06	Bullish
SMA 50	$25,849.87	Mid
SMA 200	$26,072.67	Mid
EMA 20	$26,397.50	Mid

과거 데이터

Open$25,465.60

Start Date1986-11-30

Day Range$25,419.87 – $25,697.17

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$25,249.48 – $27,968.09

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$25,220.02 – $27,968.09

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$18,013.16 – $27,968.09

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$25,465.60	Start Date	1986-11-30
Day Range	$25,419.87 – $25,697.17	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$25,249.48 – $27,968.09	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$25,220.02 – $27,968.09	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$18,013.16 – $27,968.09	Max Supply	n/a

지지 및 저항 수준

$26,279.38R3 — major ceiling

$26,035.25R2 — swing resistance

$25,791.11R1 — near-term resistance

$25,465.60현재 가격HSI

$24,956.29S1 — near-term supportSupport

$24,192.32S2 — structure support

$23,428.35S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $25,791.11; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $24,956.29; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.33% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent$25,465.60Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$25,697.17Local High+0.91%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$25,419.87Local Low-0.18%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$25,971.25Model 1M+1.99%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$26,305.50Model 1Y+3.30%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$26,121.12Model 5Y+2.57%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

82%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.33% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 HSI에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

목표가격$28,521.47

대본Breakout continuation

개연성32%

Base Case

$1019.86

+1.99% from current

목표가격$25,971.25

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

목표가격$23,428.35

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성28%

기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (+1.99% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.33% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · HSI가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	HSI	DAX	DJI	FTSE	IXIC	RUT
HSI	1.00	-0.77	-0.76	-0.58	-0.54	0.50
DAX	-0.77	1.00	0.99	0.95	0.95	-0.22
DJI	-0.76	0.99	1.00	0.96	0.94	-0.12
FTSE	-0.58	0.95	0.96	1.00	0.97	-0.01
IXIC	-0.54	0.95	0.94	0.97	1.00	0.01
RUT	0.50	-0.22	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 63/100

24H drift+2.69%

7D drift+3.24%

30D drift+1.99%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 23/100

RSI34.6 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 52/100

1M outlook+1.99%

1Y outlook+3.30%

5Y outlook+2.57%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the HSI forecast for tomorrow?

HSI is projected near $26,149.71 versus the latest reference around $25,465.60. That implies a modeled move of +2.69% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for HSI?

The weekly model points to $26,289.75, which maps to an expected drift of +3.24% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $25,971.25 (+1.99%), while the 1-year target is $26,305.50 (+3.30%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $26,121.12 with a modeled change of +2.57%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $25,791.11, while nearest support is around $24,956.29. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $25,419.87 to $25,697.17. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.