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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 10:42 UTC
• -0.00%TA 強気 · Focus マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

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時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$88.33 +1.56%昨日$87.14 -0.20%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
$86.65 -0.37%先週$88.79 -2.05%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$83.41 -4.09%先月$88.53 -1.76%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$85.77 -1.38%去年$89.86 -3.22%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.97 -3.45%5年前$136.06 -36.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$88.33 +1.56%
昨日$87.14 -0.20%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
$86.65 -0.37%
先週$88.79 -2.05%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$83.41 -4.09%
先月$88.53 -1.76%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$85.77 -1.38%
去年$89.86 -3.22%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.97 -3.45%
5年前$136.06 -36.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$89.39$88.41$87.44$86.46$85.491W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
0
強気
2
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 148.5 Bearish
MACD0.04 Neutral
SMA 50$86.88 Mid
SMA 200$92.86 Below
EMA 20$94.95 Below

過去のデータ

Open$87.14
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57
Max Supplyn/a
Open$87.14Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57Max Supplyn/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$88.34R3 — major ceiling
$87.93R2 — swing resistance
$87.52R1 — near-term resistance
$86.97現在の価格TLT
$85.23S1 — near-term supportSupport
$82.62S2 — structure support
$80.01S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $87.52; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $85.23; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.66% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent$86.97Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$87.25Local High+0.32%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$86.78Local Low-0.22%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.41Model 1M-4.09%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.77Model 1Y-1.38%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.97Model 5Y-3.45%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
83%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.66% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を TLT に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目標価格$97.41
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率32%
Base Case
$959.07
-4.09% from current
目標価格$83.41
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目標価格$80.01
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率28%
基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.09% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.66% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · TLT が他の資産とどのように移動するか
TLTXLFDIASPYXLEQQQ
TLT1.00-0.99-0.97-0.97-0.97-0.96
XLF-0.991.000.990.990.960.98
DIA-0.970.991.000.990.950.98
SPY-0.970.990.991.000.941.00
XLE-0.970.960.950.941.000.92
QQQ-0.960.980.981.000.921.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 49/100
24H drift+1.56%
7D drift-0.37%
30D drift-4.09%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 27/100
RSI8.2 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-4.09%
1Y outlook-1.38%
5Y outlook-3.45%

よくある質問

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.33 versus the latest reference around $86.97. That implies a modeled move of +1.56% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -0.37% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.41 (-4.09%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-1.38%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.97 with a modeled change of -3.45%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $87.52, while nearest support is around $85.23. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $86.78 to $87.25. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.