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i Shares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -39.03%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$88.56 -1.27%昨日$89.23 +1.33%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
$86.65 -3.40%先週$86.54 -2.05%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$83.29 -7.15%先月$87.16 -2.17%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$85.77 -4.39%去年$87.23 -7.05%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.96 -6.40%5年前$144.87 +66.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$88.56 -1.27%
昨日$89.23 +1.33%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
$86.65 -3.40%
先週$86.54 -2.05%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$83.29 -7.15%
先月$87.16 -2.17%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$85.77 -4.39%
去年$87.23 -7.05%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.96 -6.40%
5年前$144.87 +66.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$89.66$88.61$87.55$86.50$85.451W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
4
強気
0
中性
1
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1460.5 Bullish
MACD1.80 Bullish
SMA 50$87.78 Above
SMA 200$87.90 Above
EMA 20$141.31 Below

過去のデータ

Open$89.63
Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81
Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.72
24h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06
Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85
Max Supply
Open$89.63Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.7224h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$92.19R3 — upper range
$91.24R2 — swing high
$90.53R1 — near-term cap
$89.70現在の価格TLT
$88.87S1 — short-term supportSupport
$88.16S2 — trend support
$87.21S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $90.53; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $88.87; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.60%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent$89.70Current
Current reference level.
90D High$92.06Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$86.54Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を TLT に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,128.24
+12.82% from current
目標価格$101.20
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格$93.29
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$835.64
-16.44% from current
目標価格$74.96
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.60% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · TLT が他の資産とどのように移動するか
TLT
TLT1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 34/100
24H drift-1.27%
7D drift-3.40%
30D drift-7.15%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI60.7 · Bullish
MACD1.83 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 39/100
1M outlook-7.15%
1Y outlook-4.39%
5Y outlook-6.40%

よくある質問

Q What is the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF forecast for tomorrow?
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is projected near $88.56 versus the latest reference around $89.70. That implies a modeled move of -1.27% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -3.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.29 (-7.15%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-4.39%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.96 with a modeled change of -6.40%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $90.53, while nearest support is around $88.87. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.