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UK 10Y Gilt Yield 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▼ -0.35%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

予測の概要

時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	4.431% ▼ -1.14%	昨日	4.499% ▼ -1.61%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
週	4.353% ▼ -2.90%	先週	4.600% ▲ +9.55%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	4.220% ▼ -5.86%	先月	4.366% ▲ +1254.19%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	5.021% ▲ +12.00%	去年	4.532% ▼ -57.21%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	5.558% ▲ +24.00%	5年前	10.590% ▲ +133.69%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日4.431%▼ -1.14%

昨日4.499%▼ -1.61%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).

週4.353%▼ -2.90%

先週4.600%▲ +9.55%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月4.220%▼ -5.86%

先月4.366%▲ +1254.19%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年5.021%▲ +12.00%

去年4.532%▼ -57.21%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年5.558%▲ +24.00%

5年前10.590%▲ +133.69%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bullish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	60.7	Bullish
MACD	0.50	Bullish
SMA 50	3.691%	Above
SMA 200	2.361%	Above
EMA 20	9.755%	Below

過去のデータ

Open4.499%

Start Date

Day Range3.905% – 4.689%

Market Cap

Monthly Range3.862% – 4.689%

24h Volume

90D Range0.209% – 4.689%

Circulating

52W Range0.209% – 5.432%

Max Supply

Open	4.499%	Start Date
Day Range	3.905% – 4.689%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	3.862% – 4.689%	24h Volume
90D Range	0.209% – 4.689%	Circulating
52W Range	0.209% – 5.432%	Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

5.225%R3 — upper range

4.942%R2 — swing high

4.730%R1 — near-term cap

4.483%現在の価格UK10Y

4.235%S1 — short-term supportSupport

4.023%S2 — trend support

3.741%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 4.730%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 4.235%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 3.58%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent4.483%Current

Current reference level.

90D High4.689%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low0.209%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

72%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

76%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

73%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

70%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

65%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を UK10Y に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1,321.60

+32.16% from current

目標価格5.924%

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率25%

Base Case

$1,120.00

+12.00% from current

目標価格5.021%

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率50%

Bearish Case

$847.30

-15.27% from current

目標価格3.798%

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率25%

基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.15% / 30D) and volatility regime (3.58% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · UK10Y が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	UK10Y
UK10Y	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 37/100

24H drift-1.14%

7D drift-2.90%

30D drift-5.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 84/100

RSI60.9 · Bullish

MACD0.53 · Bullish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook-5.86%

1Y outlook+12.00%

5Y outlook+24.00%

よくある質問

Q What is the UK 10Y Gilt Yield forecast for tomorrow?

UK 10Y Gilt Yield is projected near 4.431% versus the latest reference around 4.483%. That implies a modeled move of -1.14% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for UK 10Y Gilt Yield?

The weekly model points to 4.353%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.90% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.220% (-5.86%), while the 1-year target is 5.021% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 5.558% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.730%, while nearest support is around 4.235%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

UK 10Y Gilt Yield 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

予測の概要

価格表

テクニカル分析

主要な指標

過去のデータ

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

価格マイルストーン

予測精度

投資シナリオ

相関行列

予測要因

よくある質問

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