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Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:57 UTC

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予測の概要

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時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	2.793% ▼ -0.76%	昨日	2.658% ▲ +5.87%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
週	2.757% ▼ -2.02%	先週	2.563% ▲ +9.79%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	2.694% ▼ -4.26%	先月	2.376% ▲ +18.43%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	3.071% ▲ +9.14%	去年	4.600% ▼ -38.83%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	3.329% ▲ +18.29%	5年前	8.928% ▼ -68.48%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日2.793%▼ -0.76%

昨日2.658%▲ +5.87%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).

週2.757%▼ -2.02%

先週2.563%▲ +9.79%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月2.694%▼ -4.26%

先月2.376%▲ +18.43%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年3.071%▲ +9.14%

去年4.600%▼ -38.83%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年3.329%▲ +18.29%

5年前8.928%▼ -68.48%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bearish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	9.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	2.713%	Above
SMA 200	3.576%	Below
EMA 20	3.827%	Below

過去のデータ

Open2.658%

Start Date2021-03-13

Day Range2.592% – 2.883%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range2.268% – 2.942%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range2.232% – 2.985%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range2.590% – 4.966%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	2.658%	Start Date	2021-03-13
Day Range	2.592% – 2.883%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	2.268% – 2.942%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	2.232% – 2.985%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	2.590% – 4.966%	Max Supply	n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

3.070%R3 — major ceiling

2.993%R2 — swing resistance

2.916%R1 — near-term resistance

2.814%現在の価格DE10Y

2.712%S1 — near-term supportSupport

2.635%S2 — structure support

2.558%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 2.916%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 2.712%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.79% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent2.814%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High2.883%Local High+2.46%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low2.592%Local Low-7.87%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target2.694%Model 1M-4.26%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.071%Model 1Y+9.13%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.329%Model 5Y+18.30%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

80%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.79% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±6.3%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を DE10Y に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1183.01

+18.30% from current

目標価格3.329%

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率32%

Base Case

$957.36

-4.26% from current

目標価格2.694%

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

目標価格2.589%

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率28%

基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.26% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.79% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · DE10Y が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	DE10Y	US2Y	US30Y	UK10Y	US10Y
DE10Y	1.00	0.82	-0.78	0.75	0.18
US2Y	0.82	1.00	-0.44	0.28	0.66
US30Y	-0.78	-0.44	1.00	-0.75	0.29
UK10Y	0.75	0.28	-0.75	1.00	-0.42
US10Y	0.18	0.66	0.29	-0.42	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 41/100

24H drift-0.76%

7D drift-2.02%

30D drift-4.26%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI9.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 53/100

1M outlook-4.26%

1Y outlook+9.14%

5Y outlook+18.29%

よくある質問

Q What is the DE10Y forecast for tomorrow?

DE10Y is projected near 2.793% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DE10Y?

The weekly model points to 2.757%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 2.694% (-4.26%), while the 1-year target is 3.071% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.329% with a modeled change of +18.29%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 2.916%, while nearest support is around 2.712%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 2.592% to 2.883%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.