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UK 10Y Gilt Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aggiornato: March 14, 2026 at 22:50 UTC

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▼ -0.35%TA Rialzista · Focus Tariffe + macro

Riepilogo delle previsioni

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Tempi	Prezzo previsto	Passato	Storico	Intuizione
Domani	4.443% ▼ -0.90%	Ieri	4.499% ▼ -0.36%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Settimana	4.383% ▼ -2.24%	La settimana scorsa	4.600% ▼ -2.54%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mese	4.281% ▼ -4.51%	Il mese scorso	4.366% ▲ +2.68%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Anno	4.893% ▲ +9.14%	L'anno scorso	4.532% ▼ -1.08%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 anni	5.302% ▲ +18.27%	5 anni fa	10.590% ▼ -57.67%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Domani4.443%▼ -0.90%

Ieri4.499%▼ -0.36%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).

Settimana4.383%▼ -2.24%

La settimana scorsa4.600%▼ -2.54%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mese4.281%▼ -4.51%

Il mese scorso4.366%▲ +2.68%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Anno4.893%▲ +9.14%

L'anno scorso4.532%▼ -1.08%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 anni5.302%▲ +18.27%

5 anni fa10.590%▼ -57.67%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Grafico dei prezzi

StoricoPrevisioneRialzistaRibassista

Analisi tecnica

Bearish

Rialzista

Neutro

Ribassista

Indicatori chiave

Indicatore	Valore	Segnale
RSI 14	19.9	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	4.448%	Above
SMA 200	5.131%	Below
EMA 20	5.451%	Below

Dati storici

Open4.499%

Start Date2021-03-14

Day Range4.371% – 4.612%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.083% – 4.690%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.017% – 4.884%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.120% – 5.289%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.499%	Start Date	2021-03-14
Day Range	4.371% – 4.612%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.083% – 4.690%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.017% – 4.884%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.120% – 5.289%	Max Supply	n/a

Livelli di supporto e resistenza

4.898%R3 — major ceiling

4.773%R2 — swing resistance

4.649%R1 — near-term resistance

4.483%Prezzo attualeUK10Y

4.317%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.193%S2 — structure support

4.068%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.649%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.317%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.86% daily realized volatility.

Tappe fondamentali del prezzo

Livelli chiave e contesto storico

Recent4.483%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.612%Local High+2.87%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.371%Local Low-2.51%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.281%Model 1M-4.51%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.893%Model 1Y+9.15%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario5.302%Model 5Y+18.27%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisione delle previsioni

Come si è comportato il nostro modello

80%

Direzionale

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.86% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Il nostro algoritmo viene ricalibrato settimanalmente utilizzando l'ultima azione dei prezzi, il regime di volatilità e i segnali degli indicatori. La precisione varia in base all’orizzonte temporale: lo slancio a breve termine è più affidabile delle proiezioni a lungo termine.

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±6.4%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Scenari di investimento

Se investi $1,000 in UK10Y oggi

Bullish Case

$1182.69

+18.27% from current

Prezzo indicativo5.302%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probabilità32%

Base Case

$954.94

-4.51% from current

Prezzo indicativo4.281%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probabilità40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Prezzo indicativo4.124%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probabilità28%

Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.51% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.86% daily).

Matrice di correlazione

Rolling di 30 giorni · come si muove UK10Y con altre risorse

	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
UK10Y	1.00	-0.75	0.75	-0.43	0.28
US30Y	-0.75	1.00	-0.78	0.31	-0.43
DE10Y	0.75	-0.78	1.00	0.18	0.82
US10Y	-0.43	0.31	0.18	1.00	0.66
US2Y	0.28	-0.43	0.82	0.66	1.00

Fattori di previsione

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.90%

7D drift-2.24%

30D drift-4.51%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI20.0 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 53/100

1M outlook-4.51%

1Y outlook+9.14%

5Y outlook+18.27%

Domande frequenti

Q What is the UK10Y forecast for tomorrow?

UK10Y is projected near 4.443% versus the latest reference around 4.483%. That implies a modeled move of -0.90% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for UK10Y?

The weekly model points to 4.383%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.24% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.281% (-4.51%), while the 1-year target is 4.893% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 5.302% with a modeled change of +18.27%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.649%, while nearest support is around 4.317%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.371% to 4.612%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.