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USD/JPY Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

Időkeret	Megjósolt ár	Elmúlt	Történelmi	Betekintés
Holnap	153.6658 ▲ +0.10%	Tegnap	153.4892 ▲ +0.52%	Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Hét	153.9824 ▲ +0.31%	Múlt héten	154.3198 ▼ -0.93%	The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Hónap	154.2239 ▲ +0.47%	Múlt hónap	157.7975 ▲ +2.03%	The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Év	153.6189 ▲ +0.07%	Tavaly	143.4900 ▼ -0.90%	The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 év	153.6142 ▲ +0.07%	5 évvel ezelőtt	144.8000 ▲ +0.91%	The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Holnap153.6658▲ +0.10%

Tegnap153.4892▲ +0.52%

Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.

Hét153.9824▲ +0.31%

Múlt héten154.3198▼ -0.93%

The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.

Hónap154.2239▲ +0.47%

Múlt hónap157.7975▲ +2.03%

The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Év153.6189▲ +0.07%

Tavaly143.4900▼ -0.90%

The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.

5 év153.6142▲ +0.07%

5 évvel ezelőtt144.8000▲ +0.91%

The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva

Technikai elemzés

Bearish

Bullish

Semleges

Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

Indikátor	Érték	Jel
RSI 14	32.5	Bearish
MACD	-2.07	Bearish
SMA 50	156.0724	Below
SMA 200	152.0104	Above
EMA 20	147.4607	Above

Történelmi adatok

Open153.4862

Start Date

Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253

Market Cap

Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.4268

24h Volume

90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224

Circulating

52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224

Max Supply

Open	153.4862	Start Date
Day Range	153.4495 – 153.5253	Market Cap
Monthly Range	152.7024 – 158.4268	24h Volume
90D Range	152.7024 – 159.1224	Circulating
52W Range	140.8250 – 159.1224	Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

157.3787R3 — upper range

155.9042R2 — swing high

154.7983R1 — near-term cap

153.5081Jelenlegi árUSD

152.2179S1 — short-term supportSupport

151.1120S2 — trend support

149.6375S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 154.7983; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 152.2179; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus

Recent153.5081Current

Current reference level.

90D High159.1224Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low152.7024Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk

74%

Irány

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a USD-ba

Bullish Case

$1,180.85

+18.09% from current

Irányár181.2704

ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation

Valószínűség25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Irányár159.6484

ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline

Valószínűség50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Irányár135.0871

ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown

Valószínűség25%

Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 51/100

24H drift+0.10%

7D drift+0.31%

30D drift+0.47%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 25/100

RSI32.5 · Bearish

MACD-2.07 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook+0.47%

1Y outlook+0.07%

5Y outlook+0.07%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the USD/JPY (USD) forecast for tomorrow?

Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/JPY is projected near 153.6658 versus the current reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly USD/JPY model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the USD/JPY 1-month and 1-year targets?

The USD/JPY 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Q Why does the USD/JPY 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?

The USD/JPY long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?

For USD/JPY, nearest resistance is around 154.7983, while nearest support is around 152.2179. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh is the USD/JPY market snapshot?

The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

USD/JPY Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

Ártáblázat

Technikai elemzés

Kulcsmutatók

Történelmi adatok

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

Ár mérföldkövek

Előrejelzés pontossága

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Előrejelzési tényezők

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

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