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USD/MXN Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -14.00%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap17.0245 ▼ -0.77%Tegnap17.2070 ▲ +0.08%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Hét16.8224 ▼ -1.94%Múlt héten17.3244 ▼ -0.18%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap16.3245 ▼ -4.85%Múlt hónap17.9112 ▼ -2.21%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év16.0672 ▼ -6.35%Tavaly20.2940 ▲ +19.69%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év15.3575 ▼ -10.48%5 évvel ezelőtt20.1604 ▼ -0.66%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap17.0245▼ -0.77%
Tegnap17.2070▲ +0.08%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Hét16.8224▼ -1.94%
Múlt héten17.3244▼ -0.18%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap16.3245▼ -4.85%
Múlt hónap17.9112▼ -2.21%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év16.0672▼ -6.35%
Tavaly20.2940▲ +19.69%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év15.3575▼ -10.48%
5 évvel ezelőtt20.1604▼ -0.66%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
17.228817.070716.912516.754416.59631W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bearish
0
Bullish
0
Semleges
5
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1442.8 Bearish
MACD-0.12 Bearish
SMA 5017.7127 Below
SMA 20018.4501 Below
EMA 2020.5232 Below

Történelmi adatok

Open17.2025
Start Date
Day Range17.1370 – 17.2025
Market Cap
Monthly Range17.1499 – 17.9834
24h Volume
90D Range17.1499 – 18.6755
Circulating
52W Range17.1499 – 20.8362
Max Supply
Open17.2025Start Date
Day Range17.1370 – 17.2025Market Cap
Monthly Range17.1499 – 17.983424h Volume
90D Range17.1499 – 18.6755Circulating
52W Range17.1499 – 20.8362Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

17.5952R3 — upper range
17.4279R2 — swing high
17.3024R1 — near-term cap
17.1560Jelenlegi árUSD
17.0096S1 — short-term supportSupport
16.8841S2 — trend support
16.7168S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 17.3024; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 17.0096; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent17.1560Current
Current reference level.
90D High18.6755Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low17.1499Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
74%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a USD-ba
Bullish Case
$1,105.11
+10.51% from current
Irányár18.9593
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Irányár17.8422
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$856.38
-14.36% from current
Irányár14.6921
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.14% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a USD más eszközökkel együtt
USD
USD1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.77%
7D drift-1.94%
30D drift-4.85%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI42.9 · Neutral
MACD-0.10 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 38/100
1M outlook-4.85%
1Y outlook-6.35%
5Y outlook-10.48%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the USD/MXN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/MXN is projected near 17.0245 versus the latest reference around 17.1560. That implies a modeled move of -0.77% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/MXN?
The weekly model points to 16.8224, which maps to an expected drift of -1.94% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.3245 (-4.85%), while the 1-year target is 16.0672 (-6.35%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.3575 with a modeled change of -10.48%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 17.3024, while nearest support is around 17.0096. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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