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AUD/JPY Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +32.33%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap109.4483 ▲ +0.80%Tegnap108.2990 ▼ -0.83%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).
Hét110.7509 ▲ +2.00%Múlt héten109.7490 ▲ +2.85%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap114.0029 ▲ +4.99%Múlt hónap104.9230 ▲ +2.99%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év117.0320 ▲ +7.78%Tavaly95.6480 ▼ -2.31%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év123.0308 ▲ +13.31%5 évvel ezelőtt83.6350 ▼ -12.56%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap109.4483▲ +0.80%
Tegnap108.2990▼ -0.83%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).
Hét110.7509▲ +2.00%
Múlt héten109.7490▲ +2.85%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap114.0029▲ +4.99%
Múlt hónap104.9230▲ +2.99%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év117.0320▲ +7.78%
Tavaly95.6480▼ -2.31%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év123.0308▲ +13.31%
5 évvel ezelőtt83.6350▼ -12.56%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
112.6195111.4145110.2095109.0045107.79951W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Semleges
1
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1459.9 Bullish
MACD-0.42 Bearish
SMA 50105.9610 Above
SMA 20099.1624 Above
EMA 2083.0780 Above

Történelmi adatok

Open107.8590
Start Date
Day Range107.6510 – 108.8910
Market Cap
Monthly Range105.0870 – 110.5930
24h Volume
90D Range97.3080 – 110.5930
Circulating
52W Range86.8410 – 110.5930
Max Supply
Open107.8590Start Date
Day Range107.6510 – 108.8910Market Cap
Monthly Range105.0870 – 110.593024h Volume
90D Range97.3080 – 110.5930Circulating
52W Range86.8410 – 110.5930Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

112.2339R3 — upper range
110.8431R2 — swing high
109.8000R1 — near-term cap
108.5830Jelenlegi árAUD
107.3660S1 — short-term supportSupport
106.3229S2 — trend support
104.9321S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 109.8000; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 107.3660; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.73%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent108.5830Current
Current reference level.
90D High110.5930Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low97.3080Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
74%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a AUD-ba
Bullish Case
$1,271.82
+27.18% from current
Irányár138.0977
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,077.81
+7.78% from current
Irányár117.0320
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Irányár95.5530
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.12% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.73% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a AUD más eszközökkel együtt
AUD
AUD1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+4.99%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 48/100
RSI59.8 · Neutral
MACD-0.44 · Bearish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 58/100
1M outlook+4.99%
1Y outlook+7.78%
5Y outlook+13.31%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the AUD/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
AUD/JPY is projected near 109.4483 versus the latest reference around 108.5830. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for AUD/JPY?
The weekly model points to 110.7509, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 114.0029 (+4.99%), while the 1-year target is 117.0320 (+7.78%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 123.0308 with a modeled change of +13.31%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 109.8000, while nearest support is around 107.3660. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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