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EUR/JPY Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +42.28%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap183.3736 ▲ +0.80%Tegnap181.3720 ▼ -0.36%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Hét185.5567 ▲ +2.00%Múlt héten185.1830 ▲ +1.04%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap191.0126 ▲ +5.00%Múlt hónap183.7470 ▲ +1.43%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év194.6313 ▲ +6.99%Tavaly156.8790 ▼ -3.94%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év202.6741 ▲ +11.41%5 évvel ezelőtt130.5100 ▼ -16.81%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap183.3736▲ +0.80%
Tegnap181.3720▼ -0.36%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Hét185.5567▲ +2.00%
Múlt héten185.1830▲ +1.04%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap191.0126▲ +5.00%
Múlt hónap183.7470▲ +1.43%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év194.6313▲ +6.99%
Tavaly156.8790▼ -3.94%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év202.6741▲ +11.41%
5 évvel ezelőtt130.5100▼ -16.81%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
188.0506186.3312184.6118182.8924181.17311W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bearish
2
Bullish
0
Semleges
3
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1443.5 Bearish
MACD-0.50 Bearish
SMA 50183.5290 Below
SMA 200175.0727 Above
EMA 20128.5918 Above

Történelmi adatok

Open181.0650
Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970
Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.2900
24h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900
Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900
Max Supply
Open181.0650Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.290024h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

186.2623R3 — upper range
184.6077R2 — swing high
183.3668R1 — near-term cap
181.9190Jelenlegi árEUR
180.4712S1 — short-term supportSupport
179.2303S2 — trend support
177.5757S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 183.3668; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 180.4712; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.52%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent181.9190Current
Current reference level.
90D High186.2900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low175.5560Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
74%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a EUR-ba
Bullish Case
$1,262.46
+26.25% from current
Irányár229.6649
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,069.88
+6.99% from current
Irányár194.6313
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Irányár160.0887
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.52% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a EUR más eszközökkel együtt
EUR
EUR1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI43.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.52 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+6.99%
5Y outlook+11.41%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/JPY is projected near 183.3736 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?
The weekly model points to 185.5567, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 191.0126 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 194.6313 (+6.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 202.6741 with a modeled change of +11.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 183.3668, while nearest support is around 180.4712. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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