Otthon » Minden » Forex előrejelzés » USD/TRY Előrejelzés

USD/TRY Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +527.95%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap43.8085 ▲ +0.28%Tegnap43.7281 ▲ +0.21%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).
Hét43.9920 ▲ +0.70%Múlt héten43.5195 ▲ +0.32%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap44.4507 ▲ +1.75%Múlt hónap43.0112 ▲ +1.58%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év45.3797 ▲ +3.88%Tavaly36.3856 ▲ +15.25%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év47.4325 ▲ +8.58%5 évvel ezelőtt8.1710 ▼ -77.54%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap43.8085▲ +0.28%
Tegnap43.7281▲ +0.21%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).
Hét43.9920▲ +0.70%
Múlt héten43.5195▲ +0.32%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap44.4507▲ +1.75%
Múlt hónap43.0112▲ +1.58%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év45.3797▲ +3.88%
Tavaly36.3856▲ +15.25%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év47.4325▲ +8.58%
5 évvel ezelőtt8.1710▼ -77.54%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
44.583344.258143.933043.607943.28281W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Semleges
1
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1471.8 Bullish
MACD-0.22 Bearish
SMA 5043.1198 Above
SMA 20041.3832 Above
EMA 207.2612 Above

Történelmi adatok

Open43.6705
Start Date
Day Range43.5966 – 43.7294
Market Cap
Monthly Range43.0366 – 43.7281
24h Volume
90D Range41.8123 – 43.7281
Circulating
52W Range36.4115 – 43.7281
Max Supply
Open43.6705Start Date
Day Range43.5966 – 43.7294Market Cap
Monthly Range43.0366 – 43.728124h Volume
90D Range41.8123 – 43.7281Circulating
52W Range36.4115 – 43.7281Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

44.6036R3 — upper range
44.2541R2 — swing high
43.9920R1 — near-term cap
43.6862Jelenlegi árUSD
43.3804S1 — short-term supportSupport
43.1183S2 — trend support
42.7688S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 43.9920; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 43.3804; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.11%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent43.6862Current
Current reference level.
90D High43.7281Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low41.8123Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
74%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a USD-ba
Bullish Case
$1,225.74
+22.57% from current
Irányár53.5481
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Irányár45.4336
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Irányár38.4439
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.05% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.11% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a USD más eszközökkel együtt
USD
USD1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 54/100
24H drift+0.28%
7D drift+0.70%
30D drift+1.75%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 63/100
RSI71.8 · Bullish
MACD-0.23 · Bearish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+1.75%
1Y outlook+3.88%
5Y outlook+8.58%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the USD/TRY forecast for tomorrow?
USD/TRY is projected near 43.8085 versus the latest reference around 43.6862. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/TRY?
The weekly model points to 43.9920, which maps to an expected drift of +0.70% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 44.4507 (+1.75%), while the 1-year target is 45.3797 (+3.88%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 47.4325 with a modeled change of +8.58%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 43.9920, while nearest support is around 43.3804. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Recommended Forecasts

Related ideas for internal navigation, grouped by stronger upside and weaker downside setups in the same market.

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Tomorrow
EUR/JPYEUR+0.80%181.9190GBP/JPYGBP+0.80%209.1890AUD/JPYAUD+0.80%108.5830
7 Days
CAD/JPYCAD+2.00%112.5510CHF/JPYCHF+2.00%199.4660SGD/JPYSGD+2.00%121.5620
1 Month
USD/ARSUSD+5.00%1,399.0000USD/KRWUSD+4.98%1,444.1200USD/PKRUSD+4.96%279.3400
1 Year
AUD/USDAUD+6.31%0.7074NZD/JPYNZD+5.76%92.6120USD/INRUSD+5.15%90.7330
5 Years
NZD/USDNZD+7.91%0.6034USD/IDRUSD+6.51%16,840.0000USD/TWDUSD+5.84%31.3590

Weaker Bearish Ideas

Tomorrow
NZD/CHFNZD-0.80%0.4642AUD/CHFAUD-0.78%0.5442EUR/CHFEUR-0.56%0.9119
7 Days
USD/PLNUSD-1.47%3.5537USD/PENUSD-1.45%3.3463NZD/CADNZD-1.35%0.8227
1 Month
USD/BRLUSD-3.24%5.2074USD/CZKUSD-3.05%20.4580USD/SGDUSD-2.84%1.2624
1 Year
CAD/CHFCAD-4.71%0.5642USD/CHFUSD-4.44%0.7694GBP/CHFGBP-4.41%1.0485
5 Years
USD/MXNUSD-10.48%17.1560USD/MYRUSD-9.44%3.8980USD/ILSUSD-7.80%3.0913