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USD/HUF Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +8.04%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap319.2847 ▲ +0.28%Tegnap318.9170 ▼ -0.06%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Hét320.9936 ▲ +0.82%Múlt héten321.4810 ▲ +0.13%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap324.4118 ▲ +1.89%Múlt hónap326.9410 ▼ -1.14%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év308.8912 ▼ -2.98%Tavaly382.9700 ▲ +5.23%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év302.7406 ▼ -4.91%5 évvel ezelőtt300.1700 ▼ -21.62%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap319.2847▲ +0.28%
Tegnap318.9170▼ -0.06%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Hét320.9936▲ +0.82%
Múlt héten321.4810▲ +0.13%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap324.4118▲ +1.89%
Múlt hónap326.9410▼ -1.14%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év308.8912▼ -2.98%
Tavaly382.9700▲ +5.23%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év302.7406▼ -4.91%
5 évvel ezelőtt300.1700▼ -21.62%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
325.3779322.8811320.3844317.8877315.39101W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bearish
1
Bullish
0
Semleges
4
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1444.5 Bearish
MACD-2.57 Bearish
SMA 50325.9760 Below
SMA 200336.7222 Below
EMA 20299.4714 Above

Történelmi adatok

Open319.6700
Start Date
Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700
Market Cap
Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.4940
24h Volume
90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210
Circulating
52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140
Max Supply
Open319.6700Start Date
Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700Market Cap
Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.494024h Volume
90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210Circulating
52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

327.0457R3 — upper range
323.7445R2 — swing high
321.2686R1 — near-term cap
318.3800Jelenlegi árUSD
315.4914S1 — short-term supportSupport
313.0155S2 — trend support
309.7143S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 321.2686; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 315.4914; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.59%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent318.3800Current
Current reference level.
90D High338.5210Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low315.6100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
74%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a USD-ba
Bullish Case
$1,144.83
+14.48% from current
Irányár364.4916
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Irányár331.1152
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Irányár280.1744
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.59% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a USD más eszközökkel együtt
USD
USD1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 54/100
24H drift+0.28%
7D drift+0.82%
30D drift+1.89%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI44.5 · Neutral
MACD-2.58 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+1.89%
1Y outlook-2.98%
5Y outlook-4.91%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the USD/HUF forecast for tomorrow?
USD/HUF is projected near 319.2847 versus the latest reference around 318.3800. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HUF?
The weekly model points to 320.9936, which maps to an expected drift of +0.82% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 324.4118 (+1.89%), while the 1-year target is 308.8912 (-2.98%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 302.7406 with a modeled change of -4.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 321.2686, while nearest support is around 315.4914. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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