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UK 10Y Gilt Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

अद्यतन: March 13, 2026 at 11:57 UTC
▼ -0.35%TA तेजी · Focus दरें + मैक्रो

पूर्वानुमान सारांश

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निर्धारित समय - सीमाअनुमानित कीमतअतीतऐतिहासिकअंतर्दृष्टि
कल4.443% -0.90%कल4.499% -0.36%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
सप्ताह4.383% -2.24%पिछले सप्ताह4.600% -2.54%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
महीना4.281% -4.51%पिछला महीना4.366% +2.68%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
वर्ष4.893% +9.14%पिछले साल4.532% -1.08%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 साल5.302% +18.27%5 साल पहले10.590% -57.67%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
कल4.443% -0.90%
कल4.499% -0.36%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
सप्ताह4.383% -2.24%
पिछले सप्ताह4.600% -2.54%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
महीना4.281% -4.51%
पिछला महीना4.366% +2.68%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
वर्ष4.893% +9.14%
पिछले साल4.532% -1.08%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 साल5.302% +18.27%
5 साल पहले10.590% -57.67%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

मूल्य चार्ट

ऐतिहासिकपूर्वानुमानतेजीमंदी
4.600%4.503%4.406%4.309%4.213%1W AgoNow7D F

तकनीकी विश्लेषण

बेचनातटस्थखरीदना
Bearish
1
तेजी
1
तटस्थ
3
मंदी

महत्वपूर्ण संकेतक

सूचककीमतसंकेत
RSI 1419.9 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 504.448% Above
SMA 2005.131% Below
EMA 205.451% Below

ऐतिहासिक डेटा

Open4.499%
Start Date2021-03-13
Day Range4.371% – 4.612%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.083% – 4.690%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.017% – 4.884%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.120% – 5.289%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.499%Start Date2021-03-13
Day Range4.371% – 4.612%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.083% – 4.690%24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.017% – 4.884%Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.120% – 5.289%Max Supplyn/a

समर्थन एवं प्रतिरोध स्तर

4.898%R3 — major ceiling
4.773%R2 — swing resistance
4.649%R1 — near-term resistance
4.483%वर्तमान कीमतUK10Y
4.317%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.193%S2 — structure support
4.068%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.649%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.317%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.86% daily realized volatility.

मूल्य मील के पत्थर

प्रमुख स्तर और ऐतिहासिक संदर्भ
Recent4.483%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.612%Local High+2.87%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.371%Local Low-2.51%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.281%Model 1M-4.51%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.893%Model 1Y+9.15%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario5.302%Model 5Y+18.27%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

पूर्वानुमान सटीकता

हमारे मॉडल ने कैसा प्रदर्शन किया है
80%
दिशात्मक
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (3.86% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
हमारे एल्गोरिदम को नवीनतम मूल्य कार्रवाई, अस्थिरता शासन और संकेतक संकेतों का उपयोग करके साप्ताहिक रूप से पुन: कैलिब्रेट किया जाता है। सटीकता समय-सीमा के अनुसार भिन्न होती है - अल्पकालिक गति दीर्घकालिक अनुमानों की तुलना में अधिक विश्वसनीय होती है।
Tomorrow
83%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
73%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±6.4%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

निवेश परिदृश्य

यदि आप आज UK10Y में $1,000 निवेश करते हैं
Bullish Case
$1182.69
+18.27% from current
लक्ष्य कीमत5.302%
परिदृश्यBreakout continuation
संभावना32%
Base Case
$954.94
-4.51% from current
लक्ष्य कीमत4.281%
परिदृश्यTrend-following baseline
संभावना40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
लक्ष्य कीमत4.124%
परिदृश्यVolatility drawdown
संभावना28%
आधार: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.51% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.86% daily).

सहसंबंध मैट्रिक्स

30-दिवसीय रोलिंग · UK10Y अन्य परिसंपत्तियों के साथ कैसे चलता है
UK10YUS30YDE10YUS10YUS2Y
UK10Y1.00-0.750.75-0.420.28
US30Y-0.751.00-0.780.29-0.44
DE10Y0.75-0.781.000.180.82
US10Y-0.420.290.181.000.66
US2Y0.28-0.440.820.661.00

पूर्वानुमान कारक

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.90%
7D drift-2.24%
30D drift-4.51%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI20.0 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 53/100
1M outlook-4.51%
1Y outlook+9.14%
5Y outlook+18.27%

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्नों

Q What is the UK10Y forecast for tomorrow?
UK10Y is projected near 4.443% versus the latest reference around 4.483%. That implies a modeled move of -0.90% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for UK10Y?
The weekly model points to 4.383%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.24% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.281% (-4.51%), while the 1-year target is 4.893% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 5.302% with a modeled change of +18.27%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.649%, while nearest support is around 4.317%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.371% to 4.612%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.