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US 10Y Treasury Yield Hasashen: Gobe, Mako, Watan, Shekaru 5

An sabunta: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Takaitaccen Hasashen

Lokaci	Farashin Hasashen	Baya	Na tarihi	Hankali
Gobe	4.068% ▼ -0.54%	Jiya	4.180% ▲ +0.48%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Mako	4.035% ▼ -1.34%	Makon da ya gabata	4.280% ▲ +0.94%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Watan	4.019% ▼ -1.73%	A watan da ya gabata	4.140% • 0.00%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Shekara	4.056% ▼ -0.82%	Shekaran da ya gabata	4.490% ▲ +4.91%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Shekaru 5	4.038% ▼ -1.26%	Shekaru 5 da suka gabata	4.280% ▼ -4.68%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Gobe4.068%▼ -0.54%

Jiya4.180%▲ +0.48%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).

Mako4.035%▼ -1.34%

Makon da ya gabata4.280%▲ +0.94%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Watan4.019%▼ -1.73%

A watan da ya gabata4.140%• 0.00%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Shekara4.056%▼ -0.82%

Shekaran da ya gabata4.490%▲ +4.91%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Shekaru 54.038%▼ -1.26%

Shekaru 5 da suka gabata4.280%▼ -4.68%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Jadawalin farashi

Na tarihiHasashenTsananiBearish

Binciken Fasaha

Bearish

Tsanani

tsaka tsaki

Bearish

Maɓallin Maɓalli

Mai nuna alama	Daraja	Sigina
RSI 14	31.6	Bearish
MACD	0.07	Bullish
SMA 50	4.185%	Below
SMA 200	4.233%	Below
EMA 20	4.182%	Below

Bayanan Tarihi

Open4.180%

Start Date

Day Range4.090% – 4.300%

Market Cap

Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%

24h Volume

90D Range3.970% – 4.300%

Circulating

52W Range3.970% – 4.620%

Max Supply

Open	4.180%	Start Date
Day Range	4.090% – 4.300%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	4.090% – 4.300%	24h Volume
90D Range	3.970% – 4.300%	Circulating
52W Range	3.970% – 4.620%	Max Supply

Taimako & Matakan Juriya

4.250%R3 — upper range

4.189%R2 — swing high

4.143%R1 — near-term cap

4.090%Farashin YanzuUS10Y

4.037%S1 — short-term supportSupport

3.991%S2 — trend support

3.930%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 4.143%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 4.037%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.85%.

Matsalolin Farashi

Mahimmin matakai & mahallin tarihi

Recent4.090%Current

Current reference level.

90D High4.300%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low3.970%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Daidaiton Hasashen

Yadda samfurin mu ya yi

74%

Jagoranci

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Algorithm ɗin mu ana sake daidaita shi mako-mako ta amfani da sabon aikin farashi, tsarin canji, da sigina masu nuni. Daidaito ya bambanta ta hanyar lokaci - gajeren lokaci yana da aminci fiye da tsinkaya na dogon lokaci.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Yanayin Zuba Jari

Idan kun saka $1,000 a cikin US10Y a yau

Bullish Case

$1,170.29

+17.03% from current

Farashin Target4.786%

Halin yanayiBreakout continuation

Yiwuwa25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Farashin Target4.254%

Halin yanayiTrend-following baseline

Yiwuwa50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Farashin Target3.599%

Halin yanayiVolatility drawdown

Yiwuwa25%

Tushen: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.04% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.85% daily).

Matrix Daidaitawa

Yin birgima na kwanaki 30 · yadda US10Y ke motsawa tare da wasu kadarorin

	US10Y
US10Y	1.00

Abubuwan Hasashen

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 45/100

24H drift-0.54%

7D drift-1.34%

30D drift-1.73%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 37/100

RSI31.7 · Bearish

MACD0.08 · Bullish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 47/100

1M outlook-1.73%

1Y outlook-0.82%

5Y outlook-1.26%

Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?

US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.068% versus the latest reference around 4.090%. That implies a modeled move of -0.54% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 10Y Treasury Yield?

The weekly model points to 4.035%, which maps to an expected drift of -1.34% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.019% (-1.73%), while the 1-year target is 4.056% (-0.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.038% with a modeled change of -1.26%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.143%, while nearest support is around 4.037%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

US 10Y Treasury Yield Hasashen: Gobe, Mako, Watan, Shekaru 5

Takaitaccen Hasashen

Jadawalin farashi

Binciken Fasaha

Maɓallin Maɓalli

Bayanan Tarihi

Taimako & Matakan Juriya

Matsalolin Farashi

Daidaiton Hasashen

Yanayin Zuba Jari

Matrix Daidaitawa

Abubuwan Hasashen

Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi

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