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Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Mis à jour: March 12, 2026 at 22:57 UTC
▲ +0.93%TA Haussier · Focus Macro + technique

Résumé des prévisions

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Laps de tempsPrix ​​prévuPasséHistoriqueAperçu
Demain$56.28 -2.15%Hier$56.98 +0.93%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Semaine$58.01 +0.86%La semaine dernière$56.48 +1.82%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois$61.04 +6.15%Mois dernier$53.58 +7.33%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année$62.93 +9.42%L'année dernière$43.89 +31.03%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans$68.06 +18.34%Il y a 5 ans$26.78 +114.71%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Demain$56.28 -2.15%
Hier$56.98 +0.93%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Semaine$58.01 +0.86%
La semaine dernière$56.48 +1.82%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois$61.04 +6.15%
Mois dernier$53.58 +7.33%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année$62.93 +9.42%
L'année dernière$43.89 +31.03%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans$68.06 +18.34%
Il y a 5 ans$26.78 +114.71%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier
$58.81$58.00$57.20$56.39$55.591W AgoNow7D F

Analyse technique

VendreNeutreAcheter
Bullish
3
Haussier
0
Neutre
2
Baissier

Indicateurs clés

IndicateurValeurSignal
RSI 1480.1 Bullish
MACD-0.05 Bearish
SMA 50$57.72 Below
SMA 200$52.28 Above
EMA 20$52.10 Above

Données historiques

Open$56.98
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.07 – $58.22
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.51
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.51
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.51
Max Supplyn/a
Open$56.98Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.07 – $58.22Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.5124h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.51Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.51Max Supplyn/a

Niveaux de support et de résistance

$59.40R3 — major ceiling
$58.83R2 — swing resistance
$58.26R1 — near-term resistance
$57.51Prix ​​actuelXLE
$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.77S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $58.26; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.37% daily realized volatility.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique
Recent$57.51Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$58.22Local High+1.23%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$57.07Local Low-0.77%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$61.04Model 1M+6.14%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.93Model 1Y+9.42%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$68.06Model 5Y+18.34%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné
82%
Directionnel
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.37% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans XLE aujourd’hui
Bullish Case
$1183.45
+18.34% from current
Prix ​​cible$68.06
ScénarioBreakout continuation
Probabilité35%
Base Case
$1061.38
+6.14% from current
Prix ​​cible$61.04
ScénarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilité37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Prix ​​cible$52.91
ScénarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilité28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (+6.15% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.37% daily).

Matrice de corrélation

30 jours glissants · comment XLE évolue avec d'autres actifs
XLESPYQQQDIAXLFTLT
XLE1.000.990.990.980.97-0.94
SPY0.991.001.000.990.99-0.97
QQQ0.991.001.000.980.98-0.96
DIA0.980.990.981.000.99-0.96
XLF0.970.990.980.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.94-0.97-0.96-0.96-0.991.00

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 53/100
24H drift-2.15%
7D drift+0.86%
30D drift+6.15%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI80.5 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+6.15%
1Y outlook+9.42%
5Y outlook+18.34%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $56.28 versus the latest reference around $57.51. That implies a modeled move of -2.15% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of +0.86% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.04 (+6.15%), while the 1-year target is $62.93 (+9.42%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $68.06 with a modeled change of +18.34%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $58.26, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $57.07 to $58.22. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.