Palladium — year-end checkpoint
Planning scenarioPrice change from today: +1.03% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Short-term statistical estimates for the next 14 sessions and four weeks, followed by transparent long-term planning scenarios—all anchored to the same verified provider reference.
Latest provider quote; markets may be closed. The last candle can be in progress.
64 observations · 2026-07-17 – 2026-10-15 · USD / troy oz · palladium futures
Daily provider candles; missing sessions are omitted. Forecast dates are weekday estimates; exchange holidays are not verified and may shift actual sessions. The shaded interval is model-implied, not guaranteed coverage. Continuous futures history may include contract rolls.
Live technical pulse
Daily rules use completed observations; intraday and weekly rules include the provider’s latest candle, which may still be in progress. Composite = (Buy − Sell) ÷ rule count. Strong Buy above 0.55; Buy above 0.15; Neutral above −0.15; Sell above −0.55; otherwise Strong Sell. 10 moving averages and 10 oscillators calculated from observed OHLC data. Buy and Sell labels describe indicator rules, not trade orders.
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| SMA 10 | 1,137.329993 | Sell |
| EMA 10 | 1,141.968986 | Sell |
| SMA 20 | 1,198.504993 | Sell |
| EMA 20 | 1,185.451874 | Sell |
| SMA 50 | 1,286.181992 | Sell |
| EMA 50 | 1,248.829548 | Sell |
| SMA 100 | 1,281.272996 | Sell |
| EMA 100 | 1,302.861062 | Sell |
| SMA 200 | 1,457.269995 | Sell |
| EMA 200 | 1,349.055343 | Sell |
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14), Wilder | 27.291853 | Buy |
| MACD histogram (12,26,9) | -7.285543 | Sell |
| StochRSI (14) | 2.568709 | Buy |
| Momentum (10) | -114.300049 | Sell |
| Stochastic (14) | 0.338587 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -121.567988 | Buy |
| ADX (14) + DI direction | 25.223456 | Sell |
| Williams %R (14) | -99.661413 | Buy |
| Ultimate Oscillator (7,14,28) | 19.004854 | Buy |
| Awesome Oscillator (5,34) | -139.384693 | Sell |
Central 80% model-implied intervals, not guaranteed coverage. A session step is an observed trading session; 1W uses five sessions and 1M uses 21 sessions. Dates are estimated weekdays; exchange holidays are not verified and can shift the actual sessions.
| Sessions ahead | Low | High | Midpoint | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 · session 1 | $1,075.83 | $1,141.68 | $1,108.27 | -0.11% |
| Oct 19, 2026 · session 2 | $1,061.50 | $1,154.53 | $1,107.03 | -0.22% |
| Oct 20, 2026 · session 3 | $1,050.35 | $1,164.18 | $1,105.80 | -0.33% |
| Oct 21, 2026 · session 4 | $1,040.87 | $1,172.18 | $1,104.57 | -0.44% |
| Oct 22, 2026 · session 5 | $1,032.44 | $1,179.11 | $1,103.35 | -0.55% |
| Oct 23, 2026 · session 6 | $1,024.78 | $1,185.29 | $1,102.12 | -0.67% |
| Oct 26, 2026 · session 7 | $1,017.69 | $1,190.90 | $1,100.89 | -0.78% |
| Oct 27, 2026 · session 8 | $1,011.06 | $1,196.05 | $1,099.67 | -0.89% |
| Oct 28, 2026 · session 9 | $1,004.80 | $1,200.82 | $1,098.45 | -1.00% |
| Oct 29, 2026 · session 10 | $998.86 | $1,205.28 | $1,097.22 | -1.11% |
| Oct 30, 2026 · session 11 | $993.18 | $1,209.47 | $1,096.00 | -1.22% |
| Nov 2, 2026 · session 12 | $987.74 | $1,213.43 | $1,094.79 | -1.33% |
| Nov 3, 2026 · session 13 | $982.51 | $1,217.19 | $1,093.57 | -1.44% |
| Nov 4, 2026 · session 14 | $977.45 | $1,220.76 | $1,092.35 | -1.55% |
Five trading sessions per week. Each dated weekday window uses the model at 5, 10, 15 and 20 session steps. Exchange holidays are not verified and can shift actual session dates.
| Week | Low | High | Midpoint | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026 | $1,032.44 | $1,179.11 | $1,103.35 | -0.55% |
| Oct 23, 2026 – Oct 29, 2026 | $998.86 | $1,205.28 | $1,097.22 | -1.11% |
| Oct 30, 2026 – Nov 5, 2026 | $972.57 | $1,224.17 | $1,091.14 | -1.65% |
| Nov 6, 2026 – Nov 12, 2026 | $950.11 | $1,239.23 | $1,085.09 | -2.20% |
The selected annual assumption is 5%. Historical reference changes below describe Palladium, instrument PA=F; they do not estimate its future return.
| Lookback | Source reference date | Annualized price change |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years | 2025-10-14 | -29.25% / year |
| 3 years | 2023-10-13 | -1.15% / year |
| 5 years | 2021-10-14 | -12.42% / year |
| 10 years | 2016-10-14 | +5.54% / year |
Automated data check: 2026-10-15T05:24:41.570Z. Scenario rates remain user-selected; no human editorial review, probability or forecasting performance is implied. Continuous futures rolls can influence historical changes.
Illustrative outcomes at model interval endpoints. No assigned probabilities or expected return. Fees, spreads, taxes and income distributions are excluded.
Observed highs and lows over the last 20 and 90 completed source observations. Reference zones, not guaranteed reversal points.
A deterministic summary of the computed daily rules.
Overall daily technical label: Sell
Computed indicator votes; no assigned return probability.
User-selected assumptions, separate from the short-term model. These scenarios have no assigned probabilities and do not claim a future market value.
Annual planning assumptions: lower −5%, base 0, upper +5%. Change the assumption above to update every scenario table and chart.
Explicit user-selected lower / unchanged / upper assumptions of 5% annually. These are planning scenarios, not model forecasts.
| Year | Lower | Base | Upper | Lower / upper change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (year-end) | $1,097.57 | $1,109.50 | $1,120.97 | -1.08% / +1.03% |
| 2027 (year-end) | $1,042.73 | $1,109.50 | $1,176.98 | -6.02% / +6.08% |
| 2028 (year-end) | $990.48 | $1,109.50 | $1,235.95 | -10.73% / +11.40% |
| 2029 (year-end) | $940.99 | $1,109.50 | $1,297.71 | -15.19% / +16.96% |
| 2030 (year-end) | $893.98 | $1,109.50 | $1,362.55 | -19.43% / +22.81% |
| 2031 (year-end) | $849.31 | $1,109.50 | $1,430.63 | -23.45% / +28.94% |
| 2032 (year-end) | $806.76 | $1,109.50 | $1,502.31 | -27.29% / +35.40% |
| 2033 (year-end) | $766.45 | $1,109.50 | $1,577.37 | -30.92% / +42.17% |
| 2034 (year-end) | $728.15 | $1,109.50 | $1,656.18 | -34.37% / +49.27% |
| 2035 (year-end) | $691.77 | $1,109.50 | $1,738.94 | -37.65% / +56.73% |
| 2036 (year-end) | $657.11 | $1,109.50 | $1,826.07 | -40.77% / +64.58% |
Monthly planning scenarios under the same selected annual assumptions; separate from the short-term statistical model.
| Month | Lower | Base | Upper |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | $1,104.77 | $1,109.50 | $1,114.02 |
| Dec 2026 | $1,100.06 | $1,109.50 | $1,118.56 |
| Jan 2027 | $1,095.36 | $1,109.50 | $1,123.12 |
| Feb 2027 | $1,090.69 | $1,109.50 | $1,127.69 |
| Mar 2027 | $1,086.04 | $1,109.50 | $1,132.29 |
| Apr 2027 | $1,081.41 | $1,109.50 | $1,136.90 |
| May 2027 | $1,076.79 | $1,109.50 | $1,141.53 |
| Jun 2027 | $1,072.20 | $1,109.50 | $1,146.18 |
| Jul 2027 | $1,067.63 | $1,109.50 | $1,150.85 |
| Aug 2027 | $1,063.07 | $1,109.50 | $1,155.54 |
| Sep 2027 | $1,058.54 | $1,109.50 | $1,160.25 |
| Oct 2027 | $1,054.02 | $1,109.50 | $1,164.98 |
The scenario bands widen with the selected horizon. No asset-specific future event or editorial review is implied.
Price change from today: +1.03% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +6.08% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +11.40% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +16.96% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +22.81% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +28.94% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +35.40% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +42.17% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +49.27% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +56.73% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Price change from today: +64.58% on the upper path. Recheck supply, inventories and production before retaining this assumption.
Conditions supportive of a higher reference value across supply, inventories and production, demand and the us dollar, weather, geopolitics and contract rolls. The numerical band follows the selected assumption.
Conditions supportive of a lower reference value across the same drivers. Revisit assumptions as evidence changes; no condition guarantees an endpoint.
Monthly contributions under the selected annual growth assumptions. Contributions at month-end; excludes fees, taxes and distributions. Yields cannot support an investment-return calculation.
How the source reference becomes the displayed data, indicators and planning scenarios.
Quote, history, forecast and calculators use the same Yahoo Finance chart snapshot. Source observation time and automated check time are shown separately. Price changes use the previous completed observation. Bond moves are basis points; index values are points.
Commodity history uses the named Yahoo continuous futures instrument; agricultural futures quoted in cents are normalized to USD throughout. No placeholder catalogue prices, synthetic candles, or fabricated fundamentals are used.
25%-shrunk 60/40 blend of 30/90-session mean log-return drift with a model-implied central 80% lognormal interval from 30-session realized volatility; constant-volatility assumption, not empirically calibrated coverage Intervals are not calibrated empirical coverage; jumps, fat tails and parameter uncertainty are excluded.
Indicators use completed daily observations and require 200 samples. Composite = (Buy − Sell) / rule count: Strong Buy above 0.55; Buy above 0.15; Neutral above −0.15; Sell above −0.55; otherwise Strong Sell. Each browser checks every 60 seconds; provider snapshots are cached for up to five minutes. Failed refreshes are visibly marked.
Every planning band uses the same timestamped reference displayed above. Changing the annual assumption updates the scenario chart, yearly bands and regular-contribution calculations.
Lower and upper paths apply the selected annual change in opposite directions. The base path keeps the reference unchanged. These paths have no assigned probabilities and are separate from the short-term statistical model.
Prices use the instrument’s quoted units; indices use points and yield moves use basis points. Fees, taxes and distributions are excluded. A yield path cannot estimate a bond investment return.
Read as a range: short-term estimates and long-term planning scenarios can fall outside every displayed band. Source gaps and unsupported calculations are withheld.
The daily table shows session steps; the weekly table shows dated calendar windows with five model steps each. The investment calculator uses five or 21 steps. Monthly long-term values are explicitly selected planning assumptions.
Use the annual scenario table and change the growth assumption. The lower, base and upper bands have no assigned probabilities and are not empirically validated targets.
Each frame needs at least 200 valid provider candles. Daily prices are never turned into invented intraday candles. Yield sources publish daily or monthly observations and cannot supply intraday OHLC signals.
The observation timestamp is the provider's market observation date, not the time this page was checked. Closed markets and monthly yield sources can report earlier observations.
No. The short-term model and user-selected long-term assumptions are educational calculations. No forecast performance percentage or guaranteed future value is claimed.
It is an indicator vote from historical observations, not an instruction or a probability. For yields, a rising yield does not imply a rising bond price.
This reference follows the named continuous futures instrument. Quoted units, contract size, expiry and rolls differ from physical spot purchases. The source instrument is PA=F, quoted as USD / troy oz · palladium futures, with daily history.
Source quality: Single instrument provider for quote and OHLC history. The displayed check time is separate from the market observation time. Missing fundamentals are not estimated.
For educational purposes only. Forecasts and scenarios can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.