Σπίτι » Ολοι » Bond Forecast » US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Ενημερώθηκε: March 14, 2026 at 22:50 UTC
• +0.00%TA Ουδέτερος · Focus Τιμές + μακροεντολή

Περίληψη Πρόβλεψης

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
Χρονικό πλαίσιοΠροβλεπόμενη τιμήΤο παρελθόνΙστορικόςΔιορατικότητα
Αύριο4.849% -1.19%Εχθές4.908% +0.00%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Εβδομάδα4.792% -2.36%Την περασμένη εβδομάδα4.755% +3.22%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Μήνας4.845% -1.28%τον περασμένο μήνα4.731% +3.74%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ετος4.772% -2.78%Πέρυσι4.615% +6.35%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Χρόνια4.793% -2.34%Πριν 5 Χρόνια2.368% +107.26%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Αύριο4.849% -1.19%
Εχθές4.908% +0.00%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Εβδομάδα4.792% -2.36%
Την περασμένη εβδομάδα4.755% +3.22%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Μήνας4.845% -1.28%
τον περασμένο μήνα4.731% +3.74%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ετος4.772% -2.78%
Πέρυσι4.615% +6.35%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Χρόνια4.793% -2.34%
Πριν 5 Χρόνια2.368% +107.26%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Διάγραμμα τιμών

ΙστορικόςΠρόβλεψηΑνοδικήBearish
4.908%4.863%4.818%4.773%4.728%1W AgoNow7D F

Τεχνική Ανάλυση

ΠωλώΟυδέτεροςΑγορά
Bullish
4
Ανοδική
1
Ουδέτερος
0
Bearish

Βασικοί δείκτες

ΔείκτηςΑξίαΣύνθημα
RSI 1488.0 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.843% Above
SMA 2004.530% Above
EMA 204.412% Above

Ιστορικά Στοιχεία

Open4.908%
Start Date1984-11-01
Day Range4.908% – 4.908%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.633% – 4.920%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.080% – 5.090%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.908%Start Date1984-11-01
Day Range4.908% – 4.908%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.633% – 4.920%Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.080% – 5.090%Max Supplyn/a

Επίπεδα Υποστήριξης & Αντίστασης

4.995%R3 — major ceiling
4.969%R2 — swing resistance
4.943%R1 — near-term resistance
4.908%Τρέχουσα τιμήUS30Y
4.810%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.663%S2 — structure support
4.515%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.943%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.810%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.74% daily realized volatility.

Ορόσημα τιμών

Βασικά επίπεδα και ιστορικό πλαίσιο
Recent4.908%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.908%Local High-0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.908%Local Low-0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.845%Model 1M-1.28%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.772%Model 1Y-2.77%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-2.34%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Ακρίβεια πρόβλεψης

Πώς απέδωσε το μοντέλο μας
83%
Κατευθυντήριος
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Ο αλγόριθμός μας βαθμονομείται εκ νέου εβδομαδιαία χρησιμοποιώντας την πιο πρόσφατη ενέργεια τιμής, καθεστώς μεταβλητότητας και σήματα δείκτη. Η ακρίβεια ποικίλλει ανάλογα με το χρονικό πλαίσιο — η βραχυπρόθεσμη ορμή είναι πιο αξιόπιστη από τις μακροπρόθεσμες προβλέψεις.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Επενδυτικά Σενάρια

Εάν επενδύσετε σήμερα το $1,000 στο US30Y
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή5.497%
ΣενάριοBreakout continuation
Πιθανότητα32%
Base Case
$987.16
-1.28% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή4.845%
ΣενάριοTrend-following baseline
Πιθανότητα40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή4.515%
ΣενάριοVolatility drawdown
Πιθανότητα28%
Βάση: Scenario engine blends live drift (-1.28% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.74% daily).

Πίνακας συσχέτισης

Κυλιόμενη 30 ημερών · πώς κινείται το US30Y με άλλα στοιχεία
US30YUK10YDE10YUS10YUS2Y
US30Y1.00-0.96-0.670.54-0.21
UK10Y-0.961.000.75-0.430.28
DE10Y-0.670.751.000.180.82
US10Y0.54-0.430.181.000.66
US2Y-0.210.280.820.661.00

Παράγοντες Πρόβλεψης

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-1.19%
7D drift-2.36%
30D drift-1.28%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI88.2 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 46/100
1M outlook-1.28%
1Y outlook-2.78%
5Y outlook-2.34%

Συχνές Ερωτήσεις

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?
US30Y is projected near 4.849% versus the latest reference around 4.908%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?
The weekly model points to 4.792%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.36% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.845% (-1.28%), while the 1-year target is 4.772% (-2.78%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -2.34%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.943%, while nearest support is around 4.810%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.908% to 4.908%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.