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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Ενημερώθηκε: March 14, 2026 at 22:50 UTC
• +0.00%TA Bearish · Focus Τιμές + μακροεντολή

Περίληψη Πρόβλεψης

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Χρονικό πλαίσιοΠροβλεπόμενη τιμήΤο παρελθόνΙστορικόςΔιορατικότητα
Αύριο4.234% -1.20%Εχθές4.285% +0.00%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Εβδομάδα4.162% -2.88%Την περασμένη εβδομάδα4.133% +3.68%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Μήνας4.086% -4.65%τον περασμένο μήνα4.104% +4.41%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ετος4.070% -5.02%Πέρυσι4.308% -0.53%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Χρόνια4.043% -5.66%Πριν 5 Χρόνια1.607% +166.65%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Αύριο4.234% -1.20%
Εχθές4.285% +0.00%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Εβδομάδα4.162% -2.88%
Την περασμένη εβδομάδα4.133% +3.68%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Μήνας4.086% -4.65%
τον περασμένο μήνα4.104% +4.41%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ετος4.070% -5.02%
Πέρυσι4.308% -0.53%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Χρόνια4.043% -5.66%
Πριν 5 Χρόνια1.607% +166.65%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Διάγραμμα τιμών

ΙστορικόςΠρόβλεψηΑνοδικήBearish
4.285%4.240%4.196%4.151%4.106%1W AgoNow7D F

Τεχνική Ανάλυση

ΠωλώΟυδέτεροςΑγορά
Bullish
4
Ανοδική
1
Ουδέτερος
0
Bearish

Βασικοί δείκτες

ΔείκτηςΑξίαΣύνθημα
RSI 1487.5 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.197% Above
SMA 2003.912% Above
EMA 203.751% Above

Ιστορικά Στοιχεία

Open4.285%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.285% – 4.285%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.285%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.743% – 4.803%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.285%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.285% – 4.285%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.285%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.743% – 4.803%Max Supplyn/a

Επίπεδα Υποστήριξης & Αντίστασης

4.385%R3 — major ceiling
4.355%R2 — swing resistance
4.325%R1 — near-term resistance
4.285%Τρέχουσα τιμήUS10Y
4.199%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.071%S2 — structure support
3.942%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.325%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.199%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.97% daily realized volatility.

Ορόσημα τιμών

Βασικά επίπεδα και ιστορικό πλαίσιο
Recent4.285%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.285%Local High-0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.285%Local Low-0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.086%Model 1M-4.64%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.070%Model 1Y-5.02%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.043%Model 5Y-5.65%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Ακρίβεια πρόβλεψης

Πώς απέδωσε το μοντέλο μας
83%
Κατευθυντήριος
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.97% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Ο αλγόριθμός μας βαθμονομείται εκ νέου εβδομαδιαία χρησιμοποιώντας την πιο πρόσφατη ενέργεια τιμής, καθεστώς μεταβλητότητας και σήματα δείκτη. Η ακρίβεια ποικίλλει ανάλογα με το χρονικό πλαίσιο — η βραχυπρόθεσμη ορμή είναι πιο αξιόπιστη από τις μακροπρόθεσμες προβλέψεις.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Επενδυτικά Σενάρια

Εάν επενδύσετε σήμερα το $1,000 στο US10Y
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή4.799%
ΣενάριοBreakout continuation
Πιθανότητα32%
Base Case
$953.56
-4.64% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή4.086%
ΣενάριοTrend-following baseline
Πιθανότητα40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Ενδεικτική τιμή3.942%
ΣενάριοVolatility drawdown
Πιθανότητα28%
Βάση: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.65% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.97% daily).

Πίνακας συσχέτισης

Κυλιόμενη 30 ημερών · πώς κινείται το US10Y με άλλα στοιχεία
US10YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS2Y
US10Y1.00-0.950.71-0.63-0.16
UK10Y-0.951.00-0.750.750.28
US30Y0.71-0.751.00-0.78-0.43
DE10Y-0.630.75-0.781.000.82
US2Y-0.160.28-0.430.821.00

Παράγοντες Πρόβλεψης

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 38/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-2.88%
30D drift-4.65%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI87.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.65%
1Y outlook-5.02%
5Y outlook-5.66%

Συχνές Ερωτήσεις

Q What is the US10Y forecast for tomorrow?
US10Y is projected near 4.234% versus the latest reference around 4.285%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly model points to 4.162%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.88% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.086% (-4.65%), while the 1-year target is 4.070% (-5.02%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.043% with a modeled change of -5.66%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.325%, while nearest support is around 4.199%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.285% to 4.285%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.