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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 20:57 UTC
▲ +0.77%TA Neutral · Focus Makro + Technik

Prognosezusammenfassung

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ZeitrahmenVoraussichtlicher PreisVergangenheitHistorischEinblick
Morgen158.0646 -0.80%Gestern158.1140 +0.77%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Woche156.3658 -1.87%Letzte Woche156.9830 +1.50%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat154.8274 -2.83%Letzten Monat156.1320 +2.05%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr153.8526 -3.44%Letztes Jahr148.0420 +7.63%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre153.6750 -3.55%Vor 5 Jahren108.5550 +46.78%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Morgen158.0646 -0.80%
Gestern158.1140 +0.77%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Woche156.3658 -1.87%
Letzte Woche156.9830 +1.50%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat154.8274 -2.83%
Letzten Monat156.1320 +2.05%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr153.8526 -3.44%
Letztes Jahr148.0420 +7.63%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre153.6750 -3.55%
Vor 5 Jahren108.5550 +46.78%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch
159.9614158.5371157.1128155.6885154.26421W AgoNow7D F

Technische Analyse

VerkaufenNeutralKaufen
Bullish
4
Bullisch
1
Neutral
0
Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

IndikatorWertSignal
RSI 1487.0 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.2823 Above
SMA 200150.7136 Above
EMA 20148.3810 Above

Historische Daten

Open158.1140
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range158.5620 – 159.4290
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.3390
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.3390
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.3390
Max Supplyn/a
Open158.1140Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range158.5620 – 159.4290Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.339024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.3390Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.3390Max Supplyn/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

161.4400R3 — major ceiling
160.8097R2 — swing resistance
160.1794R1 — near-term resistance
159.3390Aktueller PreisUSD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 160.1794; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.55% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext
Recent159.3390Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.4290Local High+0.06%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low158.5620Local Low-0.49%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.8274Model 1M-2.83%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8526Model 1Y-3.44%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6750Model 5Y-3.55%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat
83%
Richtungsweisend
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.55% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in USD investieren
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Zielpreis178.4597
SzenarioBreakout continuation
Wahrscheinlichkeit32%
Base Case
$971.69
-2.83% from current
Zielpreis154.8274
SzenarioTrend-following baseline
Wahrscheinlichkeit40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Zielpreis146.5919
SzenarioVolatility drawdown
Wahrscheinlichkeit28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.83% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.55% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich USD mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt
USDUSDTRYUSDARSSGDJPYUSDPKREURCHF
USD1.000.990.990.980.98-0.98
USDTRY0.991.001.000.981.00-0.99
USDARS0.991.001.000.981.00-0.99
SGDJPY0.980.980.981.000.97-0.98
USDPKR0.981.001.000.971.00-0.99
EURCHF-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.98-0.991.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.87%
30D drift-2.83%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI87.1 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.83%
1Y outlook-3.44%
5Y outlook-3.55%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.0646 versus the latest reference around 159.3390. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.3658, which maps to an expected drift of -1.87% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.8274 (-2.83%), while the 1-year target is 153.8526 (-3.44%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6750 with a modeled change of -3.55%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.1794, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 158.5620 to 159.4290. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.