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USD/CZK Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 20:59 UTC
▲ +1.08%TA Bärisch · Focus Makro + Technik

Prognosezusammenfassung

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ZeitrahmenVoraussichtlicher PreisVergangenheitHistorischEinblick
Morgen21.0572 -0.80%Gestern20.9824 +1.08%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Woche20.8087 -1.97%Letzte Woche20.9256 +1.35%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat20.3089 -4.33%Letzten Monat20.3224 +4.36%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr20.0828 -5.39%Letztes Jahr22.8784 -7.30%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre19.7256 -7.07%Vor 5 Jahren21.8318 -2.85%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Morgen21.0572 -0.80%
Gestern20.9824 +1.08%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Woche20.8087 -1.97%
Letzte Woche20.9256 +1.35%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat20.3089 -4.33%
Letzten Monat20.3224 +4.36%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr20.0828 -5.39%
Letztes Jahr22.8784 -7.30%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre19.7256 -7.07%
Vor 5 Jahren21.8318 -2.85%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch
21.309921.114720.919520.724220.52901W AgoNow7D F

Technische Analyse

VerkaufenNeutralKaufen
Bullish
2
Bullisch
2
Neutral
1
Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

IndikatorWertSignal
RSI 1435.8 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 5020.8820 Above
SMA 20021.1472 Mid
EMA 2021.0364 Above

Historische Daten

Open20.9824
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range21.0033 – 21.2451
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range20.3224 – 21.2090
24h Volumen/a
90D Range20.1542 – 21.2090
Circulatingn/a
52W Range20.1542 – 24.5682
Max Supplyn/a
Open20.9824Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range21.0033 – 21.2451Market Capn/a
Monthly Range20.3224 – 21.209024h Volumen/a
90D Range20.1542 – 21.2090Circulatingn/a
52W Range20.1542 – 24.5682Max Supplyn/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

21.4727R3 — major ceiling
21.3936R2 — swing resistance
21.3145R1 — near-term resistance
21.2090Aktueller PreisUSD
20.7848S1 — near-term supportSupport
20.1486S2 — structure support
19.5123S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 21.3145; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 20.7848; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.52% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext
Recent21.2090Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High21.2451Local High+0.17%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low21.0033Local Low-0.97%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target20.3089Model 1M-4.24%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target20.0828Model 1Y-5.31%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario19.7256Model 5Y-6.99%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat
83%
Richtungsweisend
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.52% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in USD investieren
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Zielpreis23.7541
SzenarioBreakout continuation
Wahrscheinlichkeit32%
Base Case
$957.56
-4.24% from current
Zielpreis20.3089
SzenarioTrend-following baseline
Wahrscheinlichkeit40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Zielpreis19.5123
SzenarioVolatility drawdown
Wahrscheinlichkeit28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.33% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.52% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich USD mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt
USDUSDCZKUSDPENUSDPLNEURCADUSDILS
USD1.000.940.920.90-0.860.85
USDCZK0.941.000.890.97-0.850.97
USDPEN0.920.891.000.92-0.960.82
USDPLN0.900.970.921.00-0.890.94
EURCAD-0.86-0.85-0.96-0.891.00-0.75
USDILS0.850.970.820.94-0.751.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 41/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.97%
30D drift-4.33%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 44/100
RSI35.9 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.33%
1Y outlook-5.39%
5Y outlook-7.07%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 21.0572 versus the latest reference around 21.2090. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 20.8087, which maps to an expected drift of -1.97% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 20.3089 (-4.33%), while the 1-year target is 20.0828 (-5.39%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 19.7256 with a modeled change of -7.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 21.3145, while nearest support is around 20.7848. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 21.0033 to 21.2451. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.