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Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 19:39 UTC
▲ +1.38%TA Bullisch · Focus Makro + Technik

Prognosezusammenfassung

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ZeitrahmenVoraussichtlicher PreisVergangenheitHistorischEinblick
Morgen$56.47 -2.24%Gestern$56.98 +1.38%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Woche$58.01 +0.42%Letzte Woche$56.48 +2.28%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat$61.10 +5.77%Letzten Monat$53.58 +7.81%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr$62.98 +9.03%Letztes Jahr$43.89 +31.61%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre$68.13 +17.95%Vor 5 Jahren$26.78 +115.66%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Morgen$56.47 -2.24%
Gestern$56.98 +1.38%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Woche$58.01 +0.42%
Letzte Woche$56.48 +2.28%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat$61.10 +5.77%
Letzten Monat$53.58 +7.81%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr$62.98 +9.03%
Letztes Jahr$43.89 +31.61%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre$68.13 +17.95%
Vor 5 Jahren$26.78 +115.66%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch
$58.81$58.05$57.29$56.53$55.771W AgoNow7D F

Technische Analyse

VerkaufenNeutralKaufen
Bullish
3
Bullisch
1
Neutral
1
Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

IndikatorWertSignal
RSI 1479.3 Bullish
MACD-0.05 Bearish
SMA 50$57.80 Mid
SMA 200$52.34 Above
EMA 20$52.16 Above

Historische Daten

Open$56.98
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.07 – $58.22
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.76
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.76
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.76
Max Supplyn/a
Open$56.98Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.07 – $58.22Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.7624h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.76Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.76Max Supplyn/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

$59.67R3 — major ceiling
$59.10R2 — swing resistance
$58.53R1 — near-term resistance
$57.77Aktueller PreisXLE
$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.77S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $58.53; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.37% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext
Recent$57.77Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$58.22Local High+0.78%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$57.07Local Low-1.21%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$61.10Model 1M+5.77%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.98Model 1Y+9.03%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$68.13Model 5Y+17.94%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat
82%
Richtungsweisend
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.37% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in XLE investieren
Bullish Case
$1179.43
+17.94% from current
Zielpreis$68.13
SzenarioBreakout continuation
Wahrscheinlichkeit35%
Base Case
$1057.73
+5.77% from current
Zielpreis$61.10
SzenarioTrend-following baseline
Wahrscheinlichkeit37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Zielpreis$53.14
SzenarioVolatility drawdown
Wahrscheinlichkeit28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+5.77% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.37% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich XLE mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt
XLESPYQQQDIAXLFTLT
XLE1.000.990.990.980.97-0.94
SPY0.991.001.000.990.99-0.97
QQQ0.991.001.000.980.98-0.96
DIA0.980.990.981.000.99-0.97
XLF0.970.990.980.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.94-0.97-0.96-0.97-0.991.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 52/100
24H drift-2.24%
7D drift+0.42%
30D drift+5.77%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 73/100
RSI79.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+5.77%
1Y outlook+9.03%
5Y outlook+17.95%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $56.47 versus the latest reference around $57.77. That implies a modeled move of -2.24% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of +0.42% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.10 (+5.77%), while the 1-year target is $62.98 (+9.03%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $68.13 with a modeled change of +17.95%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $58.53, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $57.07 to $58.22. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.