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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualisiert: March 12, 2026 at 19:39 UTC
▼ -0.17%TA Bullisch · Focus Makro + Technik

Prognosezusammenfassung

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ZeitrahmenVoraussichtlicher PreisVergangenheitHistorischEinblick
Morgen$88.34 +1.54%Gestern$87.14 -0.17%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Woche$86.65 -0.40%Letzte Woche$88.79 -2.02%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat$83.42 -4.11%Letzten Monat$88.53 -1.73%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr$85.77 -1.41%Letztes Jahr$89.86 -3.19%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre$83.97 -3.48%Vor 5 Jahren$136.06 -36.06%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Morgen$88.34 +1.54%
Gestern$87.14 -0.17%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Woche$86.65 -0.40%
Letzte Woche$88.79 -2.02%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Monat$83.42 -4.11%
Letzten Monat$88.53 -1.73%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Jahr$85.77 -1.41%
Letztes Jahr$89.86 -3.19%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Jahre$83.97 -3.48%
Vor 5 Jahren$136.06 -36.06%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Preisdiagramm

HistorischVorhersageBullischBärisch
$89.40$88.42$87.44$86.46$85.491W AgoNow7D F

Technische Analyse

VerkaufenNeutralKaufen
Bearish
0
Bullisch
2
Neutral
3
Bärisch

Schlüsselindikatoren

IndikatorWertSignal
RSI 148.5 Bearish
MACD0.03 Neutral
SMA 50$86.89 Mid
SMA 200$92.86 Below
EMA 20$94.96 Below

Historische Daten

Open$87.14
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57
Max Supplyn/a
Open$87.14Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57Max Supplyn/a

Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus

$88.36R3 — major ceiling
$87.95R2 — swing resistance
$87.54R1 — near-term resistance
$87.00Aktueller PreisTLT
$85.26S1 — near-term supportSupport
$82.65S2 — structure support
$80.04S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $87.54; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $85.26; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.66% daily realized volatility.

Preismeilensteine

Schlüsselebenen und historischer Kontext
Recent$87.00Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$87.25Local High+0.29%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$86.78Local Low-0.25%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.42Model 1M-4.11%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.77Model 1Y-1.41%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.97Model 5Y-3.48%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosegenauigkeit

Wie unser Modell funktioniert hat
83%
Richtungsweisend
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.66% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Unser Algorithmus wird wöchentlich unter Verwendung der neuesten Preisbewegungen, Volatilitätsregime und Indikatorsignale neu kalibriert. Die Genauigkeit variiert je nach Zeitrahmen – kurzfristige Impulse sind zuverlässiger als langfristige Prognosen.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investitionsszenarien

Wenn Sie heute $1,000 in TLT investieren
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Zielpreis$97.43
SzenarioBreakout continuation
Wahrscheinlichkeit32%
Base Case
$958.91
-4.11% from current
Zielpreis$83.42
SzenarioTrend-following baseline
Wahrscheinlichkeit40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Zielpreis$80.04
SzenarioVolatility drawdown
Wahrscheinlichkeit28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.11% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.66% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-Tage-Rolle · wie sich TLT mit anderen Vermögenswerten entwickelt
TLTXLFDIASPYXLEQQQ
TLT1.00-0.99-0.97-0.97-0.97-0.96
XLF-0.991.000.990.990.960.98
DIA-0.970.991.000.990.950.98
SPY-0.970.990.991.000.941.00
XLE-0.970.960.950.941.000.92
QQQ-0.960.980.981.000.921.00

Prognosefaktoren

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 48/100
24H drift+1.54%
7D drift-0.40%
30D drift-4.11%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 27/100
RSI8.2 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-4.11%
1Y outlook-1.41%
5Y outlook-3.48%

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.34 versus the latest reference around $87.00. That implies a modeled move of +1.54% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -0.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.42 (-4.11%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-1.41%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.97 with a modeled change of -3.48%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $87.54, while nearest support is around $85.26. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $86.78 to $87.25. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.