USD/PEN ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

ተዘምኗል: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -6.54%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	3.3287 ▼ -0.53%	ትናንት	3.3530 ▼ -0.03%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
ሳምንት	3.2978 ▼ -1.45%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	3.2922 ▲ +0.35%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	3.2229 ▼ -3.69%	ባለፈው ወር	3.2953 ▼ -2.48%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	3.2623 ▼ -2.51%	ያለፈው ዓመት	3.6830 ▼ -2.28%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	3.2159 ▼ -3.90%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	3.6250 ▼ -1.57%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ3.3287▼ -0.53%

ትናንት3.3530▼ -0.03%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).

ሳምንት3.2978▼ -1.45%

ባለፈው ሳምንት3.2922▲ +0.35%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር3.2229▼ -3.69%

ባለፈው ወር3.2953▼ -2.48%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት3.2623▼ -2.51%

ያለፈው ዓመት3.6830▼ -2.28%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት3.2159▼ -3.90%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት3.6250▼ -1.57%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Neutral

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	56.1	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	3.3333	Above
SMA 200	3.4480	Below
EMA 20	3.6467	Below

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open3.3508

Start Date

Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527

Market Cap

Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.3650

24h Volume

90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200

Circulating

52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610

Max Supply

Open	3.3508	Start Date
Day Range	3.3452 – 3.3527	Market Cap
Monthly Range	3.2614 – 3.3650	24h Volume
90D Range	3.2614 – 3.4200	Circulating
52W Range	3.2614 – 3.7610	Max Supply

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

3.5612R3 — upper range

3.4793R2 — swing high

3.4179R1 — near-term cap

3.3463የአሁኑ ዋጋUSD

3.2747S1 — short-term supportSupport

3.2133S2 — trend support

3.1314S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 3.4179; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 3.2747; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 1.39%.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent3.3463Current

Current reference level.

90D High3.4200Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low3.2614Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

73%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

77%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

71%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

66%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በUSD ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1,150.39

+15.04% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ3.8495

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ3.4802

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።50%

Bearish Case

$866.81

-13.32% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ2.9006

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.39% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · USD ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	USD
USD	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 43/100

24H drift-0.53%

7D drift-1.45%

30D drift-3.69%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI56.2 · Neutral

MACD-0.02 · Bearish

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 44/100

1M outlook-3.69%

1Y outlook-2.51%

5Y outlook-3.90%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the USD/PEN forecast for tomorrow?

USD/PEN is projected near 3.3287 versus the latest reference around 3.3463. That implies a modeled move of -0.53% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/PEN?

The weekly model points to 3.2978, which maps to an expected drift of -1.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), while the 1-year target is 3.2623 (-2.51%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2159 with a modeled change of -3.90%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.4179, while nearest support is around 3.2747. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/PEN ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የዋጋ ገበታ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Recommended Forecasts

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Weaker Bearish Ideas