USD/IDR ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

ተዘምኗል: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +21.09%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%	ትናንት	16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
ሳምንት	17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%	ባለፈው ወር	16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%	ያለፈው ዓመት	16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ16,927.8098▲ +0.52%

ትናንት16,809.0000▲ +0.09%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

ሳምንት17,072.5913▲ +1.38%

ባለፈው ሳምንት16,800.0000▲ +0.39%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር17,322.3336▲ +2.86%

ባለፈው ወር16,683.0000▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት17,530.2240▲ +4.10%

ያለፈው ዓመት16,245.0996▲ +3.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት17,936.6578▲ +6.51%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት14,558.0000▼ -10.39%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Bullish

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	61.4	Bullish
MACD	-122.12	Bearish
SMA 50	16,759.8120	Above
SMA 200	16,507.4959	Above
EMA 20	14,141.9900	Above

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open16,835.0000

Start Date

Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000

Market Cap

Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996

24h Volume

90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996

Circulating

52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004

Max Supply

Open	16,835.0000	Start Date
Day Range	16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000	Market Cap
Monthly Range	16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996	24h Volume
90D Range	16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996	Circulating
52W Range	15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004	Max Supply

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

17,193.6400R3 — upper range

17,058.9200R2 — swing high

16,957.8800R1 — near-term cap

16,840.0000የአሁኑ ዋጋUSD

16,722.1200S1 — short-term supportSupport

16,621.0800S2 — trend support

16,486.3600S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent16,840.0000Current

Current reference level.

90D High16,960.0996Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low16,150.0000Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

74%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በUSD ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1,228.36

+22.84% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ20,685.6643

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

Base Case

$1,040.99

+4.10% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ17,530.2240

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ14,819.2000

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · USD ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	USD
USD	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.52%

7D drift+1.38%

30D drift+2.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI61.3 · Bullish

MACD-122.13 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.86%

1Y outlook+4.10%

5Y outlook+6.51%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/IDR ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የዋጋ ገበታ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

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