ቤት » ሁሉም » Bond Forecast » US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

ተዘምኗል: March 13, 2026 at 19:05 UTC

From

▲ +0.43%TA ገለልተኛ · Focus ተመኖች + ማክሮ

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.

የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	4.847% ▼ -1.19%	ትናንት	4.885% ▲ +0.43%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
ሳምንት	4.791% ▼ -2.34%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	4.755% ▲ +3.18%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	4.845% ▼ -1.25%	ባለፈው ወር	4.814% ▲ +1.91%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	4.771% ▼ -2.74%	ያለፈው ዓመት	4.597% ▲ +6.72%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	4.793% ▼ -2.30%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	2.402% ▲ +104.25%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ4.847%▼ -1.19%

ትናንት4.885%▲ +0.43%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

ሳምንት4.791%▼ -2.34%

ባለፈው ሳምንት4.755%▲ +3.18%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር4.845%▼ -1.25%

ባለፈው ወር4.814%▲ +1.91%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት4.771%▼ -2.74%

ያለፈው ዓመት4.597%▲ +6.72%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት4.793%▼ -2.30%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት2.402%▲ +104.25%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Bullish

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	89.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.838%	Above
SMA 200	4.538%	Above
EMA 20	4.418%	Above

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open4.885%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.869% – 4.916%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.633% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.080% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.885%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.869% – 4.916%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.633% – 4.915%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.633% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.080% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

4.993%R3 — major ceiling

4.967%R2 — swing resistance

4.941%R1 — near-term resistance

4.906%የአሁኑ ዋጋUS30Y

4.808%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.661%S2 — structure support

4.514%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.941%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.808%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.74% daily realized volatility.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent4.906%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.916%Local High+0.20%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.869%Local Low-0.75%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.845%Model 1M-1.24%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.771%Model 1Y-2.75%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-2.30%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

83%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በUS30Y ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ5.495%

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።32%

Base Case

$987.57

-1.24% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.845%

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.514%

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።28%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends live drift (-1.25% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.74% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · US30Y ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.97	-0.69	0.51	-0.24
UK10Y	-0.97	1.00	0.75	-0.43	0.28
DE10Y	-0.69	0.75	1.00	0.18	0.82
US10Y	0.51	-0.43	0.18	1.00	0.66
US2Y	-0.24	0.28	0.82	0.66	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 42/100

24H drift-1.19%

7D drift-2.34%

30D drift-1.25%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI90.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 46/100

1M outlook-1.25%

1Y outlook-2.74%

5Y outlook-2.30%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.847% versus the latest reference around 4.906%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.791%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.34% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.845% (-1.25%), while the 1-year target is 4.771% (-2.74%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -2.30%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.941%, while nearest support is around 4.808%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.869% to 4.916%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.