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US 10Y Treasury Yield ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

ተዘምኗል: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	4.068% ▼ -0.54%	ትናንት	4.180% ▲ +0.48%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
ሳምንት	4.035% ▼ -1.34%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	4.280% ▲ +0.94%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	4.019% ▼ -1.73%	ባለፈው ወር	4.140% • 0.00%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	4.056% ▼ -0.82%	ያለፈው ዓመት	4.490% ▲ +4.91%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	4.038% ▼ -1.26%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	4.280% ▼ -4.68%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ4.068%▼ -0.54%

ትናንት4.180%▲ +0.48%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).

ሳምንት4.035%▼ -1.34%

ባለፈው ሳምንት4.280%▲ +0.94%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር4.019%▼ -1.73%

ባለፈው ወር4.140%• 0.00%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት4.056%▼ -0.82%

ያለፈው ዓመት4.490%▲ +4.91%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት4.038%▼ -1.26%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት4.280%▼ -4.68%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Bearish

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	31.6	Bearish
MACD	0.07	Bullish
SMA 50	4.185%	Below
SMA 200	4.233%	Below
EMA 20	4.182%	Below

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open4.180%

Start Date

Day Range4.090% – 4.300%

Market Cap

Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%

24h Volume

90D Range3.970% – 4.300%

Circulating

52W Range3.970% – 4.620%

Max Supply

Open	4.180%	Start Date
Day Range	4.090% – 4.300%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	4.090% – 4.300%	24h Volume
90D Range	3.970% – 4.300%	Circulating
52W Range	3.970% – 4.620%	Max Supply

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

4.250%R3 — upper range

4.189%R2 — swing high

4.143%R1 — near-term cap

4.090%የአሁኑ ዋጋUS10Y

4.037%S1 — short-term supportSupport

3.991%S2 — trend support

3.930%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 4.143%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 4.037%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.85%.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent4.090%Current

Current reference level.

90D High4.300%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low3.970%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

74%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በUS10Y ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1,170.29

+17.03% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.786%

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.254%

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ3.599%

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.04% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.85% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · US10Y ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	US10Y
US10Y	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 45/100

24H drift-0.54%

7D drift-1.34%

30D drift-1.73%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 37/100

RSI31.7 · Bearish

MACD0.08 · Bullish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 47/100

1M outlook-1.73%

1Y outlook-0.82%

5Y outlook-1.26%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?

US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.068% versus the latest reference around 4.090%. That implies a modeled move of -0.54% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 10Y Treasury Yield?

The weekly model points to 4.035%, which maps to an expected drift of -1.34% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.019% (-1.73%), while the 1-year target is 4.056% (-0.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.038% with a modeled change of -1.26%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.143%, while nearest support is around 4.037%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

US 10Y Treasury Yield ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የዋጋ ገበታ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

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