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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

ተዘምኗል: March 13, 2026 at 19:05 UTC

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የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	4.230% ▼ -1.20%	ትናንት	4.273% ▲ +0.19%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
ሳምንት	4.158% ▼ -2.87%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	4.133% ▲ +3.58%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	4.083% ▼ -4.62%	ባለፈው ወር	4.172% ▲ +2.61%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	4.069% ▼ -4.94%	ያለፈው ዓመት	4.274% ▲ +0.16%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	4.042% ▼ -5.57%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	1.635% ▲ +161.83%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ4.230%▼ -1.20%

ትናንት4.273%▲ +0.19%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).

ሳምንት4.158%▼ -2.87%

ባለፈው ሳምንት4.133%▲ +3.58%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር4.083%▼ -4.62%

ባለፈው ወር4.172%▲ +2.61%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት4.069%▼ -4.94%

ያለፈው ዓመት4.274%▲ +0.16%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት4.042%▼ -5.57%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት1.635%▲ +161.83%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Bullish

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	93.0	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.193%	Above
SMA 200	3.915%	Above
EMA 20	3.755%	Above

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open4.273%

Start Date1985-01-01

Day Range4.236% – 4.290%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.962% – 4.281%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.962% – 4.295%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.743% – 4.803%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.273%	Start Date	1985-01-01
Day Range	4.236% – 4.290%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.962% – 4.281%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.962% – 4.295%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.743% – 4.803%	Max Supply	n/a

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

4.381%R3 — major ceiling

4.351%R2 — swing resistance

4.321%R1 — near-term resistance

4.281%የአሁኑ ዋጋUS10Y

4.195%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.067%S2 — structure support

3.939%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.321%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.195%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.97% daily realized volatility.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent4.281%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.290%Local High+0.21%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.236%Local Low-1.05%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.083%Model 1M-4.63%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.069%Model 1Y-4.95%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.042%Model 5Y-5.58%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

83%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.97% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በUS10Y ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.795%

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።32%

Base Case

$953.75

-4.63% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ4.083%

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ3.939%

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።28%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.62% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.97% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · US10Y ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	US10Y	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US2Y
US10Y	1.00	-0.96	0.71	-0.64	-0.17
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	-0.75	0.75	0.28
US30Y	0.71	-0.75	1.00	-0.78	-0.43
DE10Y	-0.64	0.75	-0.78	1.00	0.82
US2Y	-0.17	0.28	-0.43	0.82	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 38/100

24H drift-1.20%

7D drift-2.87%

30D drift-4.62%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI93.2 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-4.62%

1Y outlook-4.94%

5Y outlook-5.57%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the US10Y forecast for tomorrow?

US10Y is projected near 4.230% versus the latest reference around 4.281%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US10Y?

The weekly model points to 4.158%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.87% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.083% (-4.62%), while the 1-year target is 4.069% (-4.94%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.042% with a modeled change of -5.57%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.321%, while nearest support is around 4.195%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.236% to 4.290%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.