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Financial Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 23:22 UTC
▼ -0.54%TA Bearish · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра$51.28 +2.44%вчора$50.33 -0.54%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
тиждень$53.10 +6.07%Минулий тиждень$51.21 -2.25%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$55.55 +10.97%Останній місяць$54.26 -7.74%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$54.47 +8.82%Минулого року$48.02 +4.25%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$55.92 +11.70%5 років тому$34.42 +45.44%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра$51.28 +2.44%
вчора$50.33 -0.54%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
тиждень$53.10 +6.07%
Минулий тиждень$51.21 -2.25%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$55.55 +10.97%
Останній місяць$54.26 -7.74%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$54.47 +8.82%
Минулого року$48.02 +4.25%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$55.92 +11.70%
5 років тому$34.42 +45.44%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
$53.81$52.88$51.94$51.00$50.061W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
4
бичачий
1
Нейтральний
0
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1478.7 Bullish
MACD0.05 Bullish
SMA 50$51.92 Mid
SMA 200$49.80 Above
EMA 20$49.41 Above

Історичні дані

Open$50.33
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$49.75 – $50.69
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.06 – $54.26
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$50.06 – $56.40
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$43.92 – $56.40
Max Supplyn/a
Open$50.33Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$49.75 – $50.69Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.06 – $54.2624h Volumen/a
90D Range$50.06 – $56.40Circulatingn/a
52W Range$43.92 – $56.40Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

$51.49R3 — major ceiling
$51.06R2 — swing resistance
$50.63R1 — near-term resistance
$50.06Поточна цінаXLF
$49.06S1 — near-term supportSupport
$47.56S2 — structure support
$46.06S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $50.63; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $49.06; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.19% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent$50.06Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$50.69Local High+1.26%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$49.75Local Low-0.62%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$55.55Model 1M+10.97%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$54.47Model 1Y+8.81%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$55.92Model 5Y+11.71%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
83%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.19% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у XLF сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Цільова ціна$56.07
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність35%
Base Case
$1109.67
+10.97% from current
Цільова ціна$55.55
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна$46.06
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність28%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (+10.97% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.19% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як XLF рухається з іншими активами
XLFQQQSPYDIATLTXLE
XLF1.000.990.980.96-0.930.87
QQQ0.991.001.000.98-0.960.92
SPY0.981.001.000.99-0.970.94
DIA0.960.980.991.00-0.970.96
TLT-0.93-0.96-0.97-0.971.00-0.98
XLE0.870.920.940.96-0.981.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 77/100
24H drift+2.44%
7D drift+6.07%
30D drift+10.97%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI78.3 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 61/100
1M outlook+10.97%
1Y outlook+8.82%
5Y outlook+11.70%

Часті запитання

Q What is the XLF forecast for tomorrow?
XLF is projected near $51.28 versus the latest reference around $50.06. That implies a modeled move of +2.44% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLF?
The weekly model points to $53.10, which maps to an expected drift of +6.07% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $55.55 (+10.97%), while the 1-year target is $54.47 (+8.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $55.92 with a modeled change of +11.70%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $50.63, while nearest support is around $49.06. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $49.75 to $50.69. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.