додому » все » ETF Forecast » iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecast

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:50 UTC
▼ -1.06%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра$88.56 +0.32%вчора$89.23 -1.06%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
тиждень$86.69 -1.80%Минулий тиждень$89.43 -1.29%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$83.58 -5.32%Останній місяць$87.54 +0.85%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$85.79 -2.82%Минулого року$91.05 -3.04%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$83.99 -4.86%5 років тому$139.01 -36.49%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра$88.56 +0.32%
вчора$89.23 -1.06%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
тиждень$86.69 -1.80%
Минулий тиждень$89.43 -1.29%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$83.58 -5.32%
Останній місяць$87.54 +0.85%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$85.79 -2.82%
Минулого року$91.05 -3.04%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$83.99 -4.86%
5 років тому$139.01 -36.49%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
$89.62$88.60$87.57$86.55$85.521W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bearish
1
бичачий
1
Нейтральний
3
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1410.3 Bearish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 50$87.63 Above
SMA 200$93.71 Below
EMA 20$95.86 Below

Історичні дані

Open$89.23
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$88.27 – $88.95
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $91.09
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.65
Max Supplyn/a
Open$89.23Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$88.27 – $88.95Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $91.09Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.65Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

$89.60R3 — major ceiling
$89.20R2 — swing resistance
$88.81R1 — near-term resistance
$88.28Поточна цінаTLT
$86.51S1 — near-term supportSupport
$83.87S2 — structure support
$81.22S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $88.81; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $86.51; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.62% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent$88.28Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$88.95Local High+0.76%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$88.27Local Low-0.01%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.58Model 1M-5.32%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.79Model 1Y-2.82%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.99Model 5Y-4.86%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
83%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.62% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у TLT сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Цільова ціна$98.87
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність32%
Base Case
$946.76
-5.32% from current
Цільова ціна$83.58
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна$81.22
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність31%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.32% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.62% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як TLT рухається з іншими активами
TLTXLFSPYQQQDIAXLE
TLT1.00-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.98-0.95
XLF-0.991.000.990.990.990.96
SPY-0.980.991.001.000.990.94
QQQ-0.980.991.001.000.980.92
DIA-0.980.990.990.981.000.96
XLE-0.950.960.940.920.961.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift+0.32%
7D drift-1.80%
30D drift-5.32%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI10.2 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 42/100
1M outlook-5.32%
1Y outlook-2.82%
5Y outlook-4.86%

Часті запитання

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.56 versus the latest reference around $88.28. That implies a modeled move of +0.32% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.69, which maps to an expected drift of -1.80% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.58 (-5.32%), while the 1-year target is $85.79 (-2.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.99 with a modeled change of -4.86%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $88.81, while nearest support is around $86.51. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $88.27 to $88.95. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.