додому » все » ETF Forecast » Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecast

Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:50 UTC
▼ -1.28%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра$55.66 +0.11%вчора$56.32 -1.28%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
тиждень$57.74 +3.85%Минулий тиждень$56.52 -1.63%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$60.38 +8.60%Останній місяць$53.25 +4.41%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$62.32 +12.09%Минулого року$44.04 +26.25%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$67.36 +21.15%5 років тому$26.73 +108.01%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра$55.66 +0.11%
вчора$56.32 -1.28%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
тиждень$57.74 +3.85%
Минулий тиждень$56.52 -1.63%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$60.38 +8.60%
Останній місяць$53.25 +4.41%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$62.32 +12.09%
Минулого року$44.04 +26.25%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$67.36 +21.15%
5 років тому$26.73 +108.01%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
$58.52$57.64$56.75$55.87$54.991W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
3
бичачий
1
Нейтральний
1
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1492.6 Bullish
MACD0.00 Neutral
SMA 50$57.04 Below
SMA 200$51.80 Above
EMA 20$51.57 Above

Історичні дані

Open$56.32
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$55.37 – $56.46
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$49.67 – $57.04
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.04
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.04
Max Supplyn/a
Open$56.32Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$55.37 – $56.46Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$49.67 – $57.0424h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.04Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.04Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

$57.35R3 — major ceiling
$56.83R2 — swing resistance
$56.30R1 — near-term resistance
$55.60Поточна цінаXLE
$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.77S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $56.30; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.31% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent$55.60Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$56.46Local High+1.55%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$55.37Local Low-0.42%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$60.38Model 1M+8.60%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.32Model 1Y+12.09%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$67.36Model 5Y+21.15%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
82%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.31% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у XLE сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1211.51
+21.15% from current
Цільова ціна$67.36
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність35%
Base Case
$1085.97
+8.60% from current
Цільова ціна$60.38
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна$51.15
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність28%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (+8.60% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.31% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як XLE рухається з іншими активами
XLESPYDIAQQQXLFTLT
XLE1.000.990.990.990.98-0.95
SPY0.991.000.991.000.99-0.97
DIA0.990.991.000.980.99-0.97
QQQ0.991.000.981.000.99-0.96
XLF0.980.990.990.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.95-0.97-0.97-0.96-0.991.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 65/100
24H drift+0.11%
7D drift+3.85%
30D drift+8.60%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI92.6 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 63/100
1M outlook+8.60%
1Y outlook+12.09%
5Y outlook+21.15%

Часті запитання

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $55.66 versus the latest reference around $55.60. That implies a modeled move of +0.11% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $57.74, which maps to an expected drift of +3.85% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $60.38 (+8.60%), while the 1-year target is $62.32 (+12.09%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $67.36 with a modeled change of +21.15%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $56.30, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $55.37 to $56.46. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.