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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:43 UTC
▼ -0.16%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра$689.59 +1.83%вчора$678.27 -0.16%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
тиждень$706.61 +4.35%Минулий тиждень$680.33 -0.46%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$733.44 +8.31%Останній місяць$690.62 -1.95%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$746.68 +10.26%Минулого року$560.58 +20.80%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$783.56 +15.71%5 років тому$393.53 +72.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра$689.59 +1.83%
вчора$678.27 -0.16%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
тиждень$706.61 +4.35%
Минулий тиждень$680.33 -0.46%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць$733.44 +8.31%
Останній місяць$690.62 -1.95%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік$746.68 +10.26%
Минулого року$560.58 +20.80%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років$783.56 +15.71%
5 років тому$393.53 +72.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
$716.11$706.38$696.64$686.91$677.181W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
4
бичачий
0
Нейтральний
1
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1494.3 Bullish
MACD0.04 Bullish
SMA 50$694.24 Below
SMA 200$645.57 Above
EMA 20$643.25 Above

Історичні дані

Open$678.27
Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$674.76 – $683.36
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$672.38 – $695.49
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supplyn/a
Open$678.27Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$674.76 – $683.36Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$672.38 – $695.4924h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

$689.64R3 — major ceiling
$685.90R2 — swing resistance
$682.17R1 — near-term resistance
$677.18Поточна цінаSPY
$663.64S1 — near-term supportSupport
$643.32S2 — structure support
$623.01S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $682.17; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $663.64; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.77% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent$677.18Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$683.36Local High+0.91%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$674.76Local Low-0.36%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$733.44Model 1M+8.31%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$746.68Model 1Y+10.26%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$783.56Model 5Y+15.71%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
83%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.77% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у SPY сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1157.09
+15.71% from current
Цільова ціна$783.56
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність35%
Base Case
$1083.08
+8.31% from current
Цільова ціна$733.44
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна$623.01
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність28%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (+8.31% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.77% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як SPY рухається з іншими активами
SPYQQQGLDDIAXLFTLT
SPY1.000.970.950.930.92-0.86
QQQ0.971.000.880.980.99-0.96
GLD0.950.881.000.830.80-0.74
DIA0.930.980.831.000.99-0.97
XLF0.920.990.800.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.86-0.96-0.74-0.97-0.991.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 70/100
24H drift+1.83%
7D drift+4.35%
30D drift+8.31%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI94.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 61/100
1M outlook+8.31%
1Y outlook+10.26%
5Y outlook+15.71%

Часті запитання

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?
SPY is projected near $689.59 versus the latest reference around $677.18. That implies a modeled move of +1.83% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?
The weekly model points to $706.61, which maps to an expected drift of +4.35% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $733.44 (+8.31%), while the 1-year target is $746.68 (+10.26%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $783.56 with a modeled change of +15.71%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $682.17, while nearest support is around $663.64. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $674.76 to $683.36. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.