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US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:44 UTC

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▲ +0.65%TA Neutral · Focus Rates + macro

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамки	Прогнозована ціна	минуле	Історичний	Інсайт
завтра	4.735% ▼ -0.75%	вчора	4.740% ▲ +0.65%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
тиждень	4.752% ▼ -0.40%	Минулий тиждень	4.702% ▲ +1.47%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць	4.842% ▲ +1.50%	Останній місяць	4.855% ▼ -1.73%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік	4.769% ▼ -0.04%	Минулого року	4.539% ▲ +5.11%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років	4.793% ▲ +0.46%	5 років тому	2.281% ▲ +109.16%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

завтра4.735%▼ -0.75%

вчора4.740%▲ +0.65%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

тиждень4.752%▼ -0.40%

Минулий тиждень4.702%▲ +1.47%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

місяць4.842%▲ +1.50%

Останній місяць4.855%▼ -1.73%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

рік4.769%▼ -0.04%

Минулого року4.539%▲ +5.11%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 років4.793%▲ +0.46%

5 років тому2.281%▲ +109.16%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий

Технічний аналіз

Bullish

бичачий

Нейтральний

Ведмежий

Ключові показники

Індикатор	Значення	Сигнал
RSI 14	82.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	4.757%	Mid
SMA 200	4.469%	Above
EMA 20	4.347%	Above

Історичні дані

Open4.740%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.740% – 4.788%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.600% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.080% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.740%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.740% – 4.788%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.633% – 4.915%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.600% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.080% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

4.847%R3 — major ceiling

4.824%R2 — swing resistance

4.802%R1 — near-term resistance

4.771%Поточна цінаUS30Y

4.676%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.532%S2 — structure support

4.389%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.802%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.676%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.67% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст

Recent4.771%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.788%Local High+0.36%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.740%Local Low-0.65%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.842%Model 1M+1.49%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.769%Model 1Y-0.04%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y+0.46%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель

83%

Спрямований

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.67% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у US30Y сьогодні

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Цільова ціна5.344%

СценарійBreakout continuation

Ймовірність32%

Base Case

$1014.88

+1.49% from current

Цільова ціна4.842%

СценарійTrend-following baseline

Ймовірність40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Цільова ціна4.389%

СценарійVolatility drawdown

Ймовірність28%

Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (+1.50% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.67% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як US30Y рухається з іншими активами

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.97	-0.70	0.50	-0.26
UK10Y	-0.97	1.00	0.75	-0.40	0.28
DE10Y	-0.70	0.75	1.00	0.17	0.83
US10Y	0.50	-0.40	0.17	1.00	0.61
US2Y	-0.26	0.28	0.83	0.61	1.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 49/100

24H drift-0.75%

7D drift-0.40%

30D drift+1.50%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 73/100

RSI82.9 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 51/100

1M outlook+1.50%

1Y outlook-0.04%

5Y outlook+0.46%

Часті запитання

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.735% versus the latest reference around 4.771%. That implies a modeled move of -0.75% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.752%, which maps to an expected drift of -0.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.842% (+1.50%), while the 1-year target is 4.769% (-0.04%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of +0.46%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.802%, while nearest support is around 4.676%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.740% to 4.788%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.