додому » все » Bond Forecast » Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecast

Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 23:24 UTC

From

▲ +5.90%TA Bullish · Focus Rates + macro

Підсумок прогнозу

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.

часові рамки	Прогнозована ціна	минуле	Історичний	Інсайт
завтра	2.793% ▼ -0.76%	вчора	2.658% ▲ +5.87%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
тиждень	2.757% ▼ -2.02%	Минулий тиждень	2.563% ▲ +9.79%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць	2.694% ▼ -4.26%	Останній місяць	2.376% ▲ +18.43%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік	3.071% ▲ +9.14%	Минулого року	4.600% ▼ -38.83%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років	3.329% ▲ +18.29%	5 років тому	8.928% ▼ -68.48%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

завтра2.793%▼ -0.76%

вчора2.658%▲ +5.87%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).

тиждень2.757%▼ -2.02%

Минулий тиждень2.563%▲ +9.79%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

місяць2.694%▼ -4.26%

Останній місяць2.376%▲ +18.43%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

рік3.071%▲ +9.14%

Минулого року4.600%▼ -38.83%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 років3.329%▲ +18.29%

5 років тому8.928%▼ -68.48%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий

Технічний аналіз

Bearish

бичачий

Нейтральний

Ведмежий

Ключові показники

Індикатор	Значення	Сигнал
RSI 14	9.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	2.713%	Above
SMA 200	3.576%	Below
EMA 20	3.827%	Below

Історичні дані

Open2.658%

Start Date2021-03-10

Day Range2.592% – 2.883%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range2.268% – 2.942%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range2.232% – 2.985%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range2.590% – 4.966%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	2.658%	Start Date	2021-03-10
Day Range	2.592% – 2.883%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	2.268% – 2.942%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	2.232% – 2.985%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	2.590% – 4.966%	Max Supply	n/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

3.070%R3 — major ceiling

2.993%R2 — swing resistance

2.916%R1 — near-term resistance

2.814%Поточна цінаDE10Y

2.712%S1 — near-term supportSupport

2.635%S2 — structure support

2.558%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 2.916%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 2.712%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.79% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст

Recent2.814%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High2.883%Local High+2.46%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low2.592%Local Low-7.87%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target2.694%Model 1M-4.26%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.071%Model 1Y+9.13%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.329%Model 5Y+18.30%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель

80%

Спрямований

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.79% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±6.3%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у DE10Y сьогодні

Bullish Case

$1183.01

+18.30% from current

Цільова ціна3.329%

СценарійBreakout continuation

Ймовірність32%

Base Case

$957.36

-4.26% from current

Цільова ціна2.694%

СценарійTrend-following baseline

Ймовірність40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Цільова ціна2.589%

СценарійVolatility drawdown

Ймовірність28%

Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.26% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.79% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як DE10Y рухається з іншими активами

	DE10Y	US2Y	US30Y	UK10Y	US10Y
DE10Y	1.00	0.83	-0.77	0.75	0.17
US2Y	0.83	1.00	-0.47	0.28	0.61
US30Y	-0.77	-0.47	1.00	-0.71	0.30
UK10Y	0.75	0.28	-0.71	1.00	-0.40
US10Y	0.17	0.61	0.30	-0.40	1.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 41/100

24H drift-0.76%

7D drift-2.02%

30D drift-4.26%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI9.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 53/100

1M outlook-4.26%

1Y outlook+9.14%

5Y outlook+18.29%

Часті запитання

Q What is the DE10Y forecast for tomorrow?

DE10Y is projected near 2.793% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DE10Y?

The weekly model points to 2.757%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 2.694% (-4.26%), while the 1-year target is 3.071% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.329% with a modeled change of +18.29%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 2.916%, while nearest support is around 2.712%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 2.592% to 2.883%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.