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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:46 UTC
• -0.00%TA Bearish · Focus Rates + macro

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра4.092% -1.05%вчора4.136% -0.00%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
тиждень4.053% -2.02%Минулий тиждень4.056% +1.97%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць4.027% -2.64%Останній місяць4.206% -1.66%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік4.057% -1.92%Минулого року4.213% -1.83%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років4.038% -2.36%5 років тому1.527% +170.86%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра4.092% -1.05%
вчора4.136% -0.00%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
тиждень4.053% -2.02%
Минулий тиждень4.056% +1.97%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць4.027% -2.64%
Останній місяць4.206% -1.66%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік4.057% -1.92%
Минулого року4.213% -1.83%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років4.038% -2.36%
5 років тому1.527% +170.86%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
4.141%4.105%4.070%4.034%3.999%1W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
4
бичачий
1
Нейтральний
0
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1496.7 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 504.083% Above
SMA 2003.827% Above
EMA 203.659% Above

Історичні дані

Open4.136%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.104% – 4.154%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.275%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.736% – 4.803%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.136%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.104% – 4.154%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.275%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.736% – 4.803%Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

4.224%R3 — major ceiling
4.197%R2 — swing resistance
4.171%R1 — near-term resistance
4.136%Поточна цінаUS10Y
4.053%S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.929%S2 — structure support
3.805%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.171%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.053%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.88% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent4.136%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.154%Local High+0.44%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.104%Local Low-0.77%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.027%Model 1M-2.64%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.057%Model 1Y-1.91%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.038%Model 5Y-2.37%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
83%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.88% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у US10Y сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Цільова ціна4.632%
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність32%
Base Case
$973.65
-2.64% from current
Цільова ціна4.027%
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна3.805%
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність28%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.64% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.88% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як US10Y рухається з іншими активами
US10YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS2Y
US10Y1.00-0.960.68-0.65-0.19
UK10Y-0.961.00-0.710.750.28
US30Y0.68-0.711.00-0.77-0.47
DE10Y-0.650.75-0.771.000.83
US2Y-0.190.28-0.470.831.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-1.05%
7D drift-2.02%
30D drift-2.64%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI96.9 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 46/100
1M outlook-2.64%
1Y outlook-1.92%
5Y outlook-2.36%

Часті запитання

Q What is the US10Y forecast for tomorrow?
US10Y is projected near 4.092% versus the latest reference around 4.136%. That implies a modeled move of -1.05% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly model points to 4.053%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.027% (-2.64%), while the 1-year target is 4.057% (-1.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.038% with a modeled change of -2.36%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.171%, while nearest support is around 4.053%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.104% to 4.154%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.