додому » все » Bond Forecast » US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:43 UTC
▲ +0.06%TA Bearish · Focus Rates + macro

Підсумок прогнозу

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра3.552% -1.20%вчора3.593% +0.06%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
тиждень3.491% -2.90%Минулий тиждень3.595% -0.00%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць3.402% -5.38%Останній місяць3.590% +0.14%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік3.362% -6.49%Минулого року4.185% -14.10%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років3.277% -8.85%5 років тому0.028% +12739.29%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра3.552% -1.20%
вчора3.593% +0.06%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
тиждень3.491% -2.90%
Минулий тиждень3.595% -0.00%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць3.402% -5.38%
Останній місяць3.590% +0.14%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік3.362% -6.49%
Минулого року4.185% -14.10%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років3.277% -8.85%
5 років тому0.028% +12739.29%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
3.595%3.557%3.520%3.482%3.444%1W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
4
бичачий
1
Нейтральний
0
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1489.6 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.538% Above
SMA 2003.226% Above
EMA 202.960% Above

Історичні дані

Open3.593%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.595% – 3.600%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.603%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.593%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.595% – 3.600%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.603%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

3.631%R3 — major ceiling
3.620%R2 — swing resistance
3.609%R1 — near-term resistance
3.595%Поточна цінаUS2Y
3.523%S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.415%S2 — structure support
3.307%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 3.609%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 3.523%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.25% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent3.595%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.600%Local High+0.14%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.595%Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.402%Model 1M-5.37%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.362%Model 1Y-6.48%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.277%Model 5Y-8.85%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
84%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.25% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у US2Y сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Цільова ціна4.026%
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність32%
Base Case
$946.31
-5.37% from current
Цільова ціна3.402%
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна3.307%
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність31%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.38% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.25% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як US2Y рухається з іншими активами
US2YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS10Y
US2Y1.00-0.960.69-0.650.57
UK10Y-0.961.00-0.710.75-0.40
US30Y0.69-0.711.00-0.770.30
DE10Y-0.650.75-0.771.000.17
US10Y0.57-0.400.300.171.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 37/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-2.90%
30D drift-5.38%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI89.8 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 38/100
1M outlook-5.38%
1Y outlook-6.49%
5Y outlook-8.85%

Часті запитання

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?
US2Y is projected near 3.552% versus the latest reference around 3.595%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?
The weekly model points to 3.491%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.90% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.402% (-5.38%), while the 1-year target is 3.362% (-6.49%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.277% with a modeled change of -8.85%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.609%, while nearest support is around 3.523%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.595% to 3.600%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.