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Shopify Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -22.57%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Earnings + trend

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра$111.59 ▼ -0.98%Вчера$110.66 ▼ -6.78%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Неделя$109.66 ▼ -2.70%Прошлая неделя$114.02 ▼ -16.35%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$102.34 ▼ -9.19%Прошлый месяц$160.97 ▲ +15.04%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$95.98 ▼ -14.83%Прошлый год$120.49 ▲ +32.82%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$85.59 ▼ -24.05%5 лет назад$147.40 ▲ +22.33%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра$111.59▼ -0.98%
Вчера$110.66▼ -6.78%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Неделя$109.66▼ -2.70%
Прошлая неделя$114.02▼ -16.35%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$102.34▼ -9.19%
Прошлый месяц$160.97▲ +15.04%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$95.98▼ -14.83%
Прошлый год$120.49▲ +32.82%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$85.59▼ -24.05%
5 лет назад$147.40▲ +22.33%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
$127.24$120.21$113.17$106.14$99.111W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bearish
1
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
4
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1434.3 Bearish
MACD7.49 Bullish
SMA 50$150.26 Below
SMA 200$138.09 Below
EMA 20$129.23 Below

Исторические данные

Open$110.21
Start Date
Day Range$107.43 – $113.39
Market Cap
Monthly Range$110.66 – $168.45
24h Volume
90D Range$110.66 – $179.01
Circulating
52W Range$76.89 – $179.01
Max Supply
Open$110.21Start Date
Day Range$107.43 – $113.39Market Cap
Monthly Range$110.66 – $168.4524h Volume
90D Range$110.66 – $179.01Circulating
52W Range$76.89 – $179.01Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

$134.30R3 — upper range
$126.07R2 — swing high
$119.90R1 — near-term cap
$112.70Текущая ценаSHOP
$105.50S1 — short-term supportSupport
$99.33S2 — trend support
$91.10S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $119.90; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $105.50; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 4.15%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent$112.70Current
Current reference level.
90D High$179.01Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$110.66Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
76%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
80%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
69%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в SHOP сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,004.95
+0.49% from current
Целевая цена$113.26
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Целевая цена$117.21
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$817.29
-18.27% from current
Целевая цена$92.11
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-1.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (4.15% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как SHOP движется вместе с другими активами
SHOP
SHOP1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 34/100
24H drift-0.98%
7D drift-2.70%
30D drift-9.19%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI34.5 · Bearish
MACD7.51 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 25/100
1M outlook-9.19%
1Y outlook-14.83%
5Y outlook-24.05%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the Shopify forecast for tomorrow?
Shopify is projected near $111.59 versus the latest reference around $112.70. That implies a modeled move of -0.98% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Shopify?
The weekly model points to $109.66, which maps to an expected drift of -2.70% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $102.34 (-9.19%), while the 1-year target is $95.98 (-14.83%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $85.59 with a modeled change of -24.05%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $119.90, while nearest support is around $105.50. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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