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TSMC Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +165.36%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Earnings + trend

Сводка прогноза

ПериодПрогнозная ценаПрошлоеИсторич.Комментарий
Завтра$380.21 ▲ +3.78%Вчера$368.10 ▼ -1.60%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Неделя$401.67 ▲ +9.64%Прошлая неделя$325.74 ▼ -2.09%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$434.86 ▲ +18.70%Прошлый месяц$303.89 ▲ +7.76%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$437.69 ▲ +19.47%Прошлый год$206.38 ▲ +55.04%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$481.31 ▲ +31.38%5 лет назад$140.05 ▼ -32.14%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Завтра$380.21▲ +3.78%
Вчера$368.10▼ -1.60%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Неделя$401.67▲ +9.64%
Прошлая неделя$325.74▼ -2.09%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц$434.86▲ +18.70%
Прошлый месяц$303.89▲ +7.76%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год$437.69▲ +19.47%
Прошлый год$206.38▲ +55.04%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет$481.31▲ +31.38%
5 лет назад$140.05▼ -32.14%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий
$423.74$406.66$389.57$372.49$355.411W AgoNow7D F

Технический анализ

ПродаватьНейтральноПокупать
Bullish
5
Бычий
0
Нейтрально
0
Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

ИндикаторЗначениеСигнал
RSI 1466.8 Bullish
MACD5.23 Bullish
SMA 50$320.56 Above
SMA 200$264.49 Above
EMA 20$127.97 Above

Исторические данные

Open$369.15
Start Date
Day Range$360.77 – $371.11
Market Cap
Monthly Range$318.01 – $374.09
24h Volume
90D Range$275.06 – $374.09
Circulating
52W Range$141.37 – $374.09
Max Supply
Open$369.15Start Date
Day Range$360.77 – $371.11Market Cap
Monthly Range$318.01 – $374.0924h Volume
90D Range$275.06 – $374.09Circulating
52W Range$141.37 – $374.09Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

$406.47R3 — upper range
$391.19R2 — swing high
$379.73R1 — near-term cap
$366.36Текущая ценаTSM
$352.99S1 — short-term supportSupport
$341.53S2 — trend support
$326.25S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $379.73; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $352.99; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.37%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст
Recent$366.36Current
Current reference level.
90D High$374.09Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$275.06Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм
76%
Направление
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.
Tomorrow
80%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
69%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в TSM сегодня
Bullish Case
$1,409.74
+40.97% from current
Целевая цена$516.47
СценарийBreakout continuation
Вероятность25%
Base Case
$1,194.69
+19.47% from current
Целевая цена$437.69
СценарийTrend-following baseline
Вероятность50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Целевая цена$322.40
СценарийVolatility drawdown
Вероятность25%
Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.65% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.37% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как TSM движется вместе с другими активами
TSM
TSM1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 93/100
24H drift+3.78%
7D drift+9.64%
30D drift+18.70%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 92/100
RSI66.2 · Bullish
MACD5.14 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 73/100
1M outlook+18.70%
1Y outlook+19.47%
5Y outlook+31.38%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the TSMC forecast for tomorrow?
TSMC is projected near $380.21 versus the latest reference around $366.36. That implies a modeled move of +3.78% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TSMC?
The weekly model points to $401.67, which maps to an expected drift of +9.64% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $434.86 (+18.70%), while the 1-year target is $437.69 (+19.47%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $481.31 with a modeled change of +31.38%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $379.73, while nearest support is around $352.99. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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